The Matchday 21 clash in Ligue 1 between Lille and Le Havre will take place on February 8 at the Pierre Mauroy Stadium in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille vs. Le Havre: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
In their last match, the team secured a commanding 4-1 victory at home against Saint-Etienne. The defeat in the 19th round against Strasbourg (1-2) remains Bruno Genesio's side's only loss in their last 16 league fixtures (7 wins, 8 draws). Despite keeping only one clean sheet in their last eight Ligue 1 matches, Lille's defense, with 20 goals conceded, is the third most reliable in the tournament. In the overall standings, Lille currently occupies the 4th position.
Forward Edon Zhegrova and defenders Samuel Umtiti, Tiago Santos, and Ismaily dos Santos are injured.
- The team is unbeaten in their last eight home league matches (5 wins, 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in 8 of Lille's last 9 home games in Ligue 1.
- Lille conceded exactly one goal in 6 of their last 7 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-5-1)
Lucas Chevalier – Gabriel Gudmundsson, Bafode Diakite, Aissa Mandi, Alessandro – Remy Cabella, Hakon Haraldsson, Ngalayel Mukau, Angel Gomes, Andre Gomes – Jonathan David.
Le Havre
Didier Digard's side last collected three points in the league at the end of November 2024. Their draw in the last round against Angers extended their winless streak in Ligue 1 to eight matches (2 draws, 6 losses). However, Le Havre managed to find the net in five of these encounters. The club is at the bottom of the table, trailing the safety of 15th place by six points.
Defender Aruna Sangante will miss the match due to suspension. Midfielder Oussama Targhalline has transferred to Feyenoord.
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Le Havre's last 7 away league games.
- Le Havre has not won in 8 of their last 9 away matches in Ligue 1 (2 draws, 6 losses).
- The number "1" appeared in the final scoreline in 5 of Le Havre's last 6 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Le Havre (5-4-1)
Mathieu Gorgelin – Etienne Kinkoue, Gautier Lloris, Aruna Sangante, Loic Nego, Fode Ballo-Toure – Josue Casimir, Mahamadou Diarra, Antoine Joujou, Yassine Kechta – Ahmed Hassan.
Referee
Thomas Leonard (France)
Matches – 11 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 18;
Penalties – 25%.
Lille vs. Le Havre: Match Prediction
The emphatic win in the last round should restore Bruno Genesio's side's confidence after some less impressive results. Lille often drops points on the road but is a formidable force at home: in their last 24 league matches, the team has suffered only two defeats against PSG and Lyon (15 wins, 7 draws). Notably, Lille has scored in 35 consecutive home Ligue 1 matches.
Le Havre is in a prolonged crisis, losing 6 of their last 8 league matches. Defensive issues have plagued Didier Digard's team, conceding 16 goals during this period. Additionally, they have lost their last three encounters against this opponent in the tournament with a combined score of 0-8. Lille will be eager to redeem themselves in the eyes of their fans after an unexpected exit from the French Cup.
My prediction: Lille to win and Total over 1.5 goals
