Matchday 20 of Serie A between Milan and Cagliari will take place on January 11 at the San Siro Stadium. Milan vs. Cagliari: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Milan vs. Cagliari
Milan (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernandez, Malick Thiaw, Matteo Gabbia, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Youssouf Fofana – Samuel Chukwueze, Filippo Terracciano, Alejandro Jimenez – Alvaro Morata.
Cagliari (4-4-2): Simone Scuffet – Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto, Adam Obert – Mattia Felici, Anthony Makoumbou, Michel Adopo, Nadir Zortea – Nicolas Viola, Roberto Piccoli.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Milan
In the last round, the team drew 1-1 with Roma at home. As a result, Milan has failed to win in three of their last four Serie A matches (2 draws, 1 loss). Additionally, they have not scored more than one goal in this period. In the standings, Milan has 27 points and is in eighth place, eight points behind the top four. However, the team's defensive play in this Serie A season has been solid, conceding only 17 goals, which is bettered by just three clubs.
Defender Alessandro Florenzi, forwards Samuel Chukwueze and Noah Okafor will miss the game due to injuries. Defender Emerson Royal is suspended.
- The club has not lost in 11 of their last 12 home matches in Serie A (5 wins, 6 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of their last 6 home league matches.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 7 of Milan's last 8 home Serie A matches.
Cagliari
In the last round, Davide Nicola's side secured a 2-1 away win against Monza. As a result, Cagliari ended their four-match losing streak in the league. This victory was their fourth in the current Serie A season, with each win coming by a one-goal margin. The team has accumulated 17 points and has moved out of the relegation zone, climbing to 17th place.
Forward Zito Luvumbo will miss the game due to injury. Notably, Elia Caprile has joined the club on loan as a replacement for goalkeeper Simone Scuffet.
- The club has not won in 6 of their last 7 away Serie A matches (2 draws, 4 losses).
- The team has conceded exactly one or two goals in their last nine away league matches.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Cagliari's last 8 away Serie A matches.
Milan vs. Cagliari: Match Prediction
Under the new head coach Sergio Conceicao, Milan will play their first league match. Before the arrival of the Portuguese specialist, the club was not performing confidently at home, securing only one win in their last five home Serie A matches (3 draws, 1 loss). Moreover, in 9 of their last 11 league matches, Milan has scored just one goal. Additionally, before this round, Milan played two tough matches in the Italian Super Cup, which may lead to fatigue affecting their performance.
Though Cagliari is not showing outstanding results in the current league, they strive to challenge any opponent. Even away, the club rarely allows their opponents to gain a significant lead: in nine away matches this Serie A season, the team has only once lost by more than one goal.
I believe the visitors will put up a commendable performance in this match. My prediction: Cagliari with a handicap (+1.5)
