The second leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Europa League Round of 16 between Olympiacos (Greece) and Bodø/Glimt (Norway) will take place on March 13 at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium in Piraeus. The score from the first match is 3-0 in favor of Bodø/Glimt. Olympiacos vs. Bodø/Glimt: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Olympiacos
José Luis Mendilibar's side has made their task of reaching the quarter-finals significantly harder after losing the first leg 0-3. This defeat was only Olympiacos' second in the current Europa League campaign. Before this, the Greek team had conceded just three goals in the ongoing tournament and had a four-match clean sheet streak. To advance to the next round, the team needs to win by at least four goals in regular time. Notably, the club has never reached the quarter-finals of Europe's second-tier competition before.
- The club has not lost in regular time in their last six home matches in the Europa League (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament.
- Olympiacos has scored in the second half in 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Europa League.
Predicted lineup for Olympiacos (4-3-3)
Konstantinos Tzolakis – Rodinei, Francisco Ortega, David Carmo, Julian Biancone – Gelson Martins, Chiquinho, Christos Mouzakitis – Luis Palma, Roman Yaremchuk, Santiago Esse.
Midfielder Yusuf Yazıcı and forward Ayoub El Kaabi will not play due to injuries.
Bodø/Glimt
Kjetil Knutsen's side secured their sixth victory in the current Europa League season with the first-leg win, achieving a three-goal margin in their favor for only the second time in this competition. Bodø/Glimt has already scored 23 goals in this tournament, leading in this category. To advance to the next round, the Norwegians need to avoid losing by more than two goals in regular time. In case of a three-goal defeat, extra time will be played. Previously, the club reached the quarter-finals of a European competition only once, in the 2021/22 UEFA Europa Conference League.
- The team has not won in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away matches in the Europa League (3 draws, 5 losses).
- Both opponents have scored in 7 of Bodø/Glimt's last 9 away games in this tournament.
- The Norwegians have scored exactly one or two goals in regular time in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the Europa League.
Predicted lineup for Bodø/Glimt (4-3-3)
Nikita Haikin – Fredrik Bjørkan, Ole Blomberg, Jostein Gundersen, Odin Bjørtuft – Sondre Fet, Patrick Berg, Håkon Evjen – Fredrik Sjøvold, Kasper Høgh, Jens Petter Hauge.
Midfielder Sondre Fet and defender Brede-Mathias Moe are injured.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 54;
Average yellow cards per match – 6;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 22%.
Olympiacos vs. Bodø/Glimt: Match Prediction
The result of the first leg is likely to push the Greeks to attack from the start and take more risks than usual. Olympiacos can rely on their excellent home form: in their last nine home matches in the Europa League, the team has lost only once, winning six times. Additionally, in their last five home games in this tournament, the Greeks have achieved three decisive victories.
The Norwegians have struggled away from home in European competitions: in their last nine away matches in the Europa League, Bodø/Glimt has secured just one win and suffered five defeats. Moreover, during this period, the club has kept only one clean sheet. It's also worth noting that in their last three away games in this tournament, the team has lost twice, conceding a total of six goals.
I believe the Greeks will capitalize on their home advantage and secure a win against the Norwegians. My prediction: Victory for Olympiacos