The final of the Spanish Super Cup between Real Madrid and Barcelona will take place on January 12 at the King Abdullah Sports City Stadium in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
Matches – 10 (La Liga and Copa del Rey, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 63;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 30%.
Predicted lineups for Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Aurelien Tchouameni, Antonio Rudiger, Ferland Mendy – Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga – Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo Goes – Kylian Mbappe.
Barcelona (4-2-3-1): Wojciech Szczesny – Pau Cubarsi, Jules Kounde, Inigo Martinez, Alex Balde – Marc Casado, Pedri – Gavi, Lamine Yamal, Raphinha Dias – Robert Lewandowski.
Each team's starting lineup is from their previous match in this tournament.
Real Madrid
This is the sixth consecutive Spanish Super Cup featuring the Madrid side, and they have reached the final for four years in a row. On their way to the decisive match, Carlo Ancelotti's team defeated Copa del Rey finalist Mallorca 3-0. Notably, Real has won this tournament 13 times, and a victory this year would equal Barcelona's tally. Interestingly, in the previous edition of the Super Cup, the capital club defeated Barcelona in the final with a 4-1 scoreline.
Defenders Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao are sidelined due to injuries.
- In their last 12 Spanish Super Cup matches, Real Madrid has only lost twice after 90 minutes (6 wins and 4 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of Real's last 8 games in this tournament.
Barcelona
The Catalans are participating in the tournament for the tenth consecutive time. While they lost to Real Madrid in the previous edition, they defeated them in the final the season before with a 3-1 victory. Barcelona has 14 trophies in this tournament, one more than Real. In the Super Cup semi-final, Hans Flick's team convincingly beat the current Copa del Rey holders Athletic Bilbao 2-0.
Goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen and midfielder Marc Bernal will miss out due to injuries. Barcelona has also received permission for the temporary registration of midfielder Dani Olmo and forward Pau Victor for the second half of the 2024/25 season. Both players are eligible for the Super Cup final.
- In their last eight matches in this tournament, Barcelona has only lost once in regular time (3 wins and 4 draws).
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Barcelona's last 10 games in the Spanish Super Cup.
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Match Prediction
This will be the third consecutive Spanish Super Cup final featuring these two clubs. The previous two finals were thrilling and high-scoring, with four goals in one and five in the other. I believe the upcoming match will be equally exciting, especially as both teams are nearly at full strength.
Additionally, at least three goals have been scored in all six of their recent head-to-head encounters in Spanish tournaments, with both teams scoring in four of those matches. Notably, in 8 of their last 9 Super Cup meetings, the bet "Total over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score – Yes" was successful. Furthermore, Barcelona and Real Madrid are the highest-scoring teams in the current La Liga season, with a combined total of 94 goals after 19 rounds. Therefore, I confidently predict Total over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score – Yes.
