The Matchday 3 encounter in Group A of the 2025 Ice Hockey World Championship between Slovakia and Slovenia will take place on May 11 at the Avicii Arena in Stockholm. Slovakia vs. Slovenia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Slovakia
On the first matchday, Slovakia suffered a 0-5 defeat against Sweden. Despite the loss, the Slovaks matched their opponents in the number of shots on goal (15) and accumulated twice as much penalty time compared to their opponents. Over the past four years in this tournament, Slovakia has advanced from the group stage three times but has been eliminated at the quarter-final stage on each occasion.
- At least five goals have been scored in regular time in 8 of Slovakia's last 10 World Championship matches.
- The team has lost after three periods in four of their previous games in this tournament (1 after a shootout).
- Slovakia has not conceded more than one goal in 60 minutes in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches at the World Championship.
Slovenia
On the second matchday, Slovenia lost 0-4 to Canada. In that match, their opponents outshot Slovenia by more than four times. Slovenia accumulated 14 penalty minutes, twice as much as Team Canada. Slovenia's best result in a World Championship was in 2005 when they finished in 13th place.
- The team has not lost by more than one goal in regular time in 4 of their last 5 World Championship matches.
- At least four goals have been scored in 60 minutes in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches in the current tournament.
- The team has scored at least two goals in 5 of their last 7 World Championship matches in 60 minutes.
Slovakia vs. Slovenia: Match Prediction
After a heavy defeat against Sweden, Slovakia is expected to be extremely cautious in their upcoming match. In many games, the team has struggled to fully utilize their attacking potential, winning by no more than two goals in five recent matches in this tournament in regular time. A similar pattern is seen in head-to-head statistics: Slovakia has won by no more than two goals in four of their last head-to-head matches at the World Championship after three periods.
Slovenia, like their upcoming opponent, will likely focus on defense to avoid unnecessary risks that could increase their chances of defeat. The team has not lost by more than two goals in 8 of their last 9 World Championship matches in regular time. Slovenia has a well-developed defensive strategy and often successfully counters sharp attacks from opponents: they have not conceded more than two goals in 4 of their last 5 matches in this tournament in regular time.
I expect Slovenia to try to prolong the game and concentrate all their efforts on defending their goal. My prediction: Slovenia with a handicap (+2.5)