The Copa del Rey round of 16 match between Deportivo Alavés and Rayo Vallecano will take place on January 14 at Mendizorroza Stadium in Vitoria-Gasteiz. Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés, coached by Eduardo Coudet, have already recorded thrashings of Getxo (7:0) and Portugalete (3:0) in the current edition of the national cup, after which the side was limited to a single goal against Sevilla in the previous round. Thus, the club won in regular time in 7 of its last 9 matches in this competition, and in all those cases managed to keep a clean sheet. The club reached the round of 16 for the third time in the previous four years, but failed to progress beyond this stage in any of those seasons. The side's best achievement in the Copa del Rey is reaching the final in 2016/17.
- Deportivo Alavés' scoring run in the Copa del Rey stands at five matches.
- At home in this competition the club has not lost in 11 of its last 12 matches (8 wins, 3 draws).
- In 13 of the previous 15 home matches in the national cup the team did not concede more than one goal.
Potential Deportivo Alavés Lineup (4-5-1)*
Antonio Sivera – Jon Pacheco, Nahuel Tenaglia, Jonny, Yussef Enriquez – Antonio Blanco, Carles Aleñá, Pablo Ibáñez, Denis Suárez, Kalebe – Tony Martínez.
Striker Lucas Boyé and midfielder Denis Suárez are injured.
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano also progressed through three rounds, defeating Juncos (6:1), Real Avila (1:1, extra time 1:0) and Granada (3:1). Note that all of those matches were played away by the side. The club have conceded in six consecutive Copa del Rey games, while their scoring run is even more impressive at 12 matches. The club reached the round of 16 for the third consecutive time, but so far attempts to get past this stage have been unsuccessful. Moreover, in 2021/22 the side matched its best ever national cup performance by reaching the semifinals.
- Both teams scored in Rayo Vallecano's last six Copa del Rey matches.
- Away in this competition the club has won 6 of its last 7 matches (1 defeat).
- In 9 of the last 11 away Copa del Rey games the team scored at least two goals.
Potential Rayo Vallecano Lineup (4-4-2)*
Augusto Batalla – Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Luis Felipe, Pep Chavarria – Isi Palazon, Unai López, Sergio Camello, Jorge de Frutos – Óscar Valentín, Álvaro García.
Midfielder Pape Cissé is with his national team. Defenders Luis Felipe, Abdul Mumin and midfielder Unai López are injured.
Referee
Francisco Hernández (Spain)
Matches – 10 (the La Liga and the Copa del Rey, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls average per match – 23;
Penalties – 40%.
Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano: Match Prediction
The opponents met relatively recently in La Liga. The October match ended with a narrow win for Rayo Vallecano. That game did not interrupt the low-scoring head-to-head run, which has now reached eight matches. We think the upcoming meeting will continue the trend; no significant changes have occurred in either side since then, and in terms of scoring they rank among the four lowest in the current season.
Deportivo Alavés have been unable to score more than one goal in five consecutive official home matches. Reliable defending has helped the club secure positive results: in their previous eight home matches across the league and Copa del Rey the side conceded two or more goals only against Real Madrid.
Rayo Vallecano scored five goals in their last two official matches, but three of those goals came against struggling Segunda División side Granada, and the other two were conceded against Mallorca, who are facing a similar fight in the La Liga. Before that Rayo Vallecano managed only two goals in eight league matches. Moreover, even away from home the side rarely allows opponents to score more than once.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* For each team the starting lineup from their previous match is shown.
