Matchday 6 in the Nations League between Albania and Ukraine in Group 1 of League B will take place on November 19 at the Air Albania Stadium in Tirana. Albania vs. Ukraine: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: João Pinheiro (Portugal)
Matches – 16 (International matches, 2023–2024);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 25%.
Predicted lineups for Albania vs. Ukraine
Albania (4-3-3): Thomas Strakosha – Mario Mitaj, Ivan Balliu, Ardian Ismajli, Arlind Ajeti – Qazim Laci, Ylber Ramadani, Kristjan Asllani – Nedim Bajrami, Yaser Asani, Indrit Tuci.
Ukraine (4-1-4-1): Anatoliy Trubin – Vitaliy Mykolenko, Illia Zabarnyi, Mykola Matviyenko, Yukhym Konoplia – Volodymyr Brazhko – Oleksandr Zubkov, Heorhiy Sudakov, Mykola Shaparenko, Mykhailo Mudryk – Artem Dovbyk.
Each team listed their starting lineup from their last match in this tournament.
Albania
The Balkans have managed to keep a clean sheet in their last two matches, marking only the second time they have achieved this in the Nations League. Silvinho's side secured a 1-0 away win against Georgia and drew 0-0 at home with the Czech Republic. Currently third in Group 1, they trail the leading Czechs by just one point. If Albania loses, they will be relegated to League C. A win guarantees at least second place in the group. They can also finish second with a draw, provided the Czech Republic defeats Georgia.
- At least one team failed to score, and no more than two goals were scored in Albania's last four Nations League matches.
- The Balkans have not scored more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 games in this tournament.
- The team has not lost in the first half in their last seven home matches in the Nations League (4 wins and 3 draws).
Ukraine
Ukraine suffered two defeats at the start of the current Nations League campaign but remained unbeaten in the following three matches. They first defeated Georgia 1-0, then drew 1-1 with both the Czechs and the same Georgians. Ukraine remains at the bottom of the group. Despite losing the chance to win Group 1, there is still hope for second place. For this, Ukraine needs to win and hope for a slip-up by the Caucasians in the Czech Republic.
- Ukraine has not lost in 8 of their last 11 Nations League matches (4 wins and 4 draws).
- Ukraine has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
- Before the draw with Georgia, Ukraine had an 8-match uncompromising away streak in the Nations League (3 wins and 5 losses).
Albania vs. Ukraine: Match Prediction
To avoid relying on the result of the parallel match in the Czech Republic, both teams should aim for victory in the upcoming game. The determination to win at all costs will lead to numerous errors and additional nervousness, making a high-scoring and entertaining match unlikely. I slightly favor the visitors. Despite Ukraine's issues, their players are of a slightly higher caliber, and they have more experience in high-level matches.
Albania has performed well away against Ukrainians and Georgians, but their home strategy hasn't been effective, resulting in four consecutive home games without a win in the Nations League (2 draws and 2 losses). Additionally, it's worth noting that the Balkans have played nine home matches in this tournament, but have only beaten modest opponents like Israel, Kazakhstan, and Belarus.
My prediction – Ukraine with a handicap (0)