The Matchday 5 clash in the Europa League 2024/25 between Anderlecht (Belgium) and Porto (Portugal) will take place on November 28 at Lotto Park Stadium in Brussels. Anderlecht vs. Porto: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Morten Krogh (Denmark)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 31%.
Predicted lineups for Anderlecht vs. Porto
Anderlecht (4-5-1): Colin Coosemans – Thomas Foket, Jan-Carlo Simic, Leander Dendoncker, Ludwig Augustinsson – Mats Rits, Majeed Ashimeru, Anders Dreyer, Mario Stroeykens, Tristan Degreef – Luis Vazquez.
Porto (4-3-3): Diogo Costa – Francisco Moura, Martin Fernandez, Nehuen Perez, Tiago Djaló – Stephen Eustáquio, Alan Varela, Fabio Vieira – Danny Loader, Samuel Omorodion, Wenderson Galeno.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
Anderlecht
David Hubert's side was held to a 1-1 draw away to Latvian side RFS in the last round. As a result, Anderlecht's five-match winning streak in the Europa League came to an end, and they conceded in regular time for only the third time in the last eight matches in this competition. The Belgians have accumulated ten points, ranking fifth in the standings, and with only three goals conceded, they are behind only three clubs in this stage.
Defender Jan Vertonghen, midfielder Majeed Ashimeru, and forward Thorgan Hazard will miss the match due to injuries.
- No more than two goals have been scored in regular time in 7 of Anderlecht's last 9 home matches in the Europa League.
- The team has scored exactly one or two goals in 90 minutes in 8 of their last 10 home matches in this competition.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in regular time in 6 of Anderlecht's last 9 home matches in the Europa League.
Porto
Vitor Bruno's side suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Italian side Lazio in the last round. As a result, Porto has failed to win in regular time in six of their last seven matches in the Europa League (3 draws, 3 losses). The team remains with four points, placing them 22nd in the standings. Notably, Porto has conceded eight goals in this stage, surpassing only three clubs in this regard.
Defender Ivan Marcano will miss the match due to injury.
- The team has conceded at least two goals in regular time in 13 of their last 15 away matches in the Europa League.
- At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Porto's last 6 away matches in this competition.
- The number "2" has appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 8 of Porto's last 9 away matches in the Europa League.
Anderlecht vs. Porto: Match Prediction
The home advantage often aids the Belgians on the international stage. At home, Anderlecht rarely loses and is known for their solid defensive play. In their last 20 home matches in the Europa League, the team has allowed their opponents to score more than one goal in regular time only three times, achieving eight clean sheets in this span.
While Porto seldom struggles in attack when playing away in European competitions, their scoring rate is not particularly high. In 7 of their last 10 away matches in the Europa League, the team has scored only once in 90 minutes, and in three of these encounters, Porto failed to score at all.
I believe Anderlecht is capable of delivering another strong defensive performance and providing stiff resistance to their opponent. My prediction: Porto Individual Total Under 1.5
