The Premier League round 29 match between Aston Villa and Chelsea will take place on 4 March at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa vs Chelsea: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Aston Villa
The home side have not looked this poor since the start of the campaign, when they went five straight matches without a win. The club come into this fixture on the back of a shock away defeat to Wolverhampton (0:2), as well as a home draw with Leeds (1:1). Overall, across their last five Premier League matches, Aston Villa have recorded just one win – against Brighton – while also losing twice and drawing twice. Unsurprisingly, after this disappointing spell, the team have dropped to fourth place, with the gap to the nearest side outside the Champions League places standing at just three points.
- No more than two goals have been scored in each of the previous eight league matches involving the Birmingham side.
- Aston Villa have not scored more than once in five consecutive Premier League matches.
- The club have conceded exactly one goal in six of their last seven home Premier League games.
Potential Aston Villa Lineup (4-5-1)*
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Matty Cash, Ian Maatsen, Tyrone Mings – Emiliano Buendia, Douglas Luiz, Leon Bailey, Morgan Rogers, Amadou Onana – Ollie Watkins.
Midfielders Harvey Elliott, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn and Boubacar Kamara are out injured.
Chelsea
In the previous round, the away team visited Arsenal and lost the derby 1:2. The club also finished the match with 10 men, with Pedro Neto’s sending-off being Chelsea’s seventh red card of the current league campaign, a tally that leaves them clear leaders in the division for this statistic. It also brought an end to the Londoners’ six-match unbeaten run in the Premier League (four wins and two draws). As a result, the team have dropped to sixth in the standings and now trail the Champions League places by six points.
- Both teams have scored in each of the club’s last six league matches.
- Chelsea have scored at least twice in five of their last seven Premier League games.
- Three or more goals have been scored in five of the Londoners’ last six Premier League matches.
Potential Chelsea Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Robert Sanchez – Mamadou Sarr, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato, Reece James – Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo – Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto – Joao Pedro.
Defender Levi Colwill, forward Estevao, midfielders Jamie Gittens and Dario Essugo, and goalkeeper Filip Jorgensen will miss the game through injury. Midfielder Pedro Neto is unavailable due to suspension.
Referee
Jarred Gillett (Australia)
Matches – 16 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 25%.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Match Prediction
A very intriguing contest awaits in Birmingham, where two teams aiming for a top-four finish will go head-to-head. Despite the six-point gap between them and the fact that the match will be played at Villa Park, we believe the visitors are more likely to come out on top. After all, current form is slightly better for the Londoners, who have suffered just one defeat in their last seven league matches – and that came against the Premier League leaders.
It is also worth noting that the Londoners have avoided defeat in five of their last seven Premier League away matches. Aston Villa, meanwhile, may have faced mid-table sides and relegation candidates in their last eight fixtures, but they have managed only two victories. Confidence at home has also faded, with the Birmingham outfit winning just one of their last four Premier League matches at their own ground (one draw and two defeats). Moreover, across those home games, the club have scored only two goals.
Aston Villa’s attack has clearly lost momentum. At the moment, the Birmingham side have scored just 38 goals, and among the top 10 teams in the league only Everton have found the net fewer times – which is hardly surprising given their attacking issues. We should also add that in the last eight Premier League head-to-head meetings at this stadium, Aston Villa have won only twice (one draw and five defeats).
Prediction: Chelsea Draw No Bet
* For each team, the starting line-up from their most recent match in this competition is shown.
