The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League quarter-final between Aston Villa (England) and PSG (France) will take place on April 15 at Villa Park in Birmingham. The first match ended 3-1 in favor of PSG. Aston Villa vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Aston Villa
Unai Emery's side lost the first leg to PSG with a score of 1-3. The Birmingham team scored first (for the fourth consecutive Champions League match) but failed to hold the lead, ending their three-match winning streak in the tournament. To advance to the next round, the club needs to win by at least three goals. Notably, Aston Villa won their last home Champions League match by such a margin.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of the last 6 matches of the British team in the Champions League.
- The team has not lost at home in this tournament (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Aston Villa has conceded in only one home game in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Aston Villa (4-5-1)
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Axel Disasi, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne – John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Jacob Ramsey, Boubacar Kamara – Marcus Rashford.
PSG
The victory in the previous match was PSG's seventh in their last eight Champions League games. In the current tournament, PSG has already scored 28 goals, setting a new club record for scoring in the Champions League. To reach the semi-finals, Luis Enrique's side can even afford to lose by a minimal margin. If the team loses by exactly two goals, extra time will be played. Notably, in the last four seasons across all European competitions, teams with a two-goal advantage before the second leg have progressed in 35 out of 38 cases.
- The French team has scored at least two goals in 6 of their last 8 Champions League games.
- PSG has a streak of four away wins in this tournament.
- In their last six away Champions League matches, PSG has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Match Prediction: Aston Villa vs. PSG
The first leg was dominated by PSG, but the British team managed to score on a counterattack. In the return match, the Birmingham side will need to play much more aggressively, as they need to overcome a two-goal deficit. According to local press reports, Aston Villa will aim for an early goal, a strategy in which they have been quite successful.
Unai Emery's side has scored in the 3rd minute three times in this Champions League campaign. They have scored four times before the 15-minute mark. Only four teams have more goals in this period, and three of them have already exited the tournament.
PSG is heading to England for a victory. At least, that's what Luis Enrique stated, which means the French side does not intend to sit back and defend their lead. PSG scored three times against Birmingham, who spent much of the match defending. Now, the team will have much more space for attacks. In such a situation, goals against Aston Villa may come much faster—even if PSG concedes first.
My prediction: Goal before the 15th minute – Yes
