The Coppa Italia quarter-final match between Atalanta and Bologna will take place on February 4 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Bologna: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side easily overcame Cesena (6-1) in the previous round. Atalanta participated in the final match of the last Coppa Italia but lost to Juventus 0-1. Notably, since 2019, the Bergamo team has reached the final of this tournament twice more, yet the trophy has eluded them. The club has won the national cup only once in its history – in 1963.
Defender Odilon Kossounou and forward Ademola Lookman will miss the game due to injuries.
- The team has won in regular time in 8 of their last 11 home matches in the Coppa Italia.
- The club has scored at least twice in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 7 home games in the national cup.
- At least four goals have been scored in regular time in 5 of Atalanta's last 6 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-2-1)
Marco Carnesecchi – Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti, Sead Kolasinac – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson Lourenço, Matteo Ruggeri – Marco Brescianini, Charles De Ketelaere – Mateo Retegui.
Bologna
In the round of 16, Vincenzo Italiano's side left no chance for Monza, defeating them 4-0. Note that in the 21st century, Bologna has never advanced past the quarter-final stage of the Coppa Italia. In the previous edition of this tournament, the club was stopped in the quarter-finals – Fiorentina proved stronger in a penalty shootout (5-4) after a goalless draw in regular time.
Forward Riccardo Orsolini will not play due to injury.
- The club has not won in regular time in 6 of their last 7 away matches in the national cup (4 draws, 2 losses).
- At least one of the opponents has failed to score in 90 minutes in five of the team's last away cup matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in 8 of Bologna's last 11 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Bologna (4-2-3-1)
Lukasz Skorupski – Charalampos Lykogiannis, Sam Beukema, John Lucumi, Lorenzo De Silvestri – Remo Freuler, Nikola Moro – Benja Dominguez, Jens Odgaard, Dan Ndoye – Thijs Dallinga.
Referee
Livio Marinelli (Italy)
Matches – 10 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 30%.
Match Prediction: Atalanta vs. Bologna
At home, the Bergamo team tends to play aggressively and spend a lot of time on the attack. Their scoring in cup matches is high: in their last 11 home cup games, Atalanta has only failed to score once, and that was against Juventus, known for their solid defense. However, in their last six home matches in this tournament, the team has not managed to keep a clean sheet.
Bologna also does not usually sit back on their half of the field – the team often scores even in away cup matches. In their last 11 away games in this tournament, the club has found the net, scoring at least two goals in five of those instances. Meanwhile, Bologna's defense is not always reliable: in 7 of their last 10 away cup matches, the team failed to keep a clean sheet.
I expect both teams to score in this encounter, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match.