The Matchday 15 clash in Serie A between Atalanta and AC Milan will take place on December 6 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. AC Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 19 (Serie A, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 90;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 32%.
Predicted lineups for Atalanta vs. AC Milan
Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Marco Carnesecchi – Odilon Kossounou, Isak Hien, Sead Kolašinac – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Éderson Lourenço, Matteo Ruggeri – Ademola Lookman, Charles De Ketelaere – Mateo Retegui.
AC Milan (4-3-3): Mike Maignan – Theo Hernández, Malick Thiaw, Matteo Gabbia, Emerson Royal – Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Youssouf Fofana – Yunus Musah, Álvaro Morata, Rafael Leão.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side secured three points in their last away match against Roma (2-0). As a result, Atalanta extended their winning streak in the league to eight matches, equaling a club record. Furthermore, the Bergamo team leads the league in goals scored this Serie A season (36). They are currently second in the standings, trailing leaders Napoli by just one point.
Defender Davide Zappacosta and forward Gianluca Scamacca will miss the game due to injuries.
- The team has won 8 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Atalanta's last 7 home league matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of Atalanta's last 9 home Serie A matches.
AC Milan
In the last round, Paulo Fonseca's side confidently defeated Empoli at home (3-0). As a result, AC Milan is unbeaten in four consecutive Serie A matches (2 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, the club kept clean sheets in back-to-back matches for the first time this season. In the standings, they have 22 points and sit in seventh place, four points shy of the top six.
Defender Alessandro Florenzi, midfielder Ismaël Bennacer, and forward Luka Jović will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club has not won 7 of their last 9 away Serie A matches (4 draws, 3 losses).
- Both teams have scored in 6 of AC Milan's last 7 away league matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of AC Milan's last 7 away Serie A matches.
Atalanta vs. AC Milan: Match Prediction
This match features two highly attacking teams, and I expect a high-scoring affair. Atalanta scores regularly and abundantly, having already netted 20 times in home Serie A matches this season, the highest in the league. However, they also allow their opponents opportunities, having kept a clean sheet only once in their last seven home league matches.
AC Milan has played their last three matches across three different competitions, scoring 12 goals. In Serie A, their scoring form is also impressive, managing to find the net consistently, even away from home. They have scored in all six away matches this season, scoring at least twice in half of them. Meanwhile, Milan's defense has not been as reliable, keeping only one clean sheet in away Serie A matches this season, conceding a total of ten goals.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
