The Matchday 9 Serie A clash between Atalanta and Milan will take place on October 28 at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atalanta
In the previous round, Ivan Juric's side drew 1-1 away against Cremonese. This result extended Atalanta's unbeaten run in the league to eight matches (2 wins, 6 draws). However, the team has failed to keep a clean sheet in nine of their last 11 Serie A matches. In the standings, the club is in seventh place with 12 points. Notably, Atalanta remains the only team yet to lose in the current championship.
- The team has not won in 12 of their last 15 home matches in Serie A (8 draws, 4 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 10 of the club's last 13 home league matches.
- Atalanta has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 8 home Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Atalanta (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Berat Djimsiti, Marten de Roon, Isak Hien – Nicola Zalewski, Ederson Lourenco, Mario Pasalic, Raoul Bellanova – Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman, Nikola Krstovic.
Defender Giorgio Scalvini will miss the match due to injury.
Milan
In the last round, Massimiliano Allegri's team couldn't overcome Pisa at home, resulting in a 2-2 draw. Nevertheless, Milan extended their unbeaten run in the league to seven matches (5 wins, 2 draws). However, this was the first time in this period that they conceded more than one goal. The club, with 17 points, lost the top spot in the standings and dropped to third place.
- The team has not lost in 6 of their last 7 away matches in Serie A (5 wins, 1 draw).
- The club has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 away league games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of Milan's last 11 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Milan (3-5-2)
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic – Davide Bartesaghi, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Samuele Ricci, Rafael Leao – Alexis Saelemaekers, Rafael Leao.
Defender Pervis Estupinan, midfielders Ardon Jashari, Adrien Rabiot, and Christian Pulisic will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches – 21 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 55;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 19%.
Match Prediction: Atalanta vs. Milan
The current championship has been challenging for Atalanta – the team has only managed two victories, primarily due to a lack of aggression and efficiency in attack. Even at home, the club struggles with scoring: in 3 of their 4 home matches this season, Ivan Juric's side has failed to score more than one goal and, notably, did not find the net against Lazio.
Milan generally plays from a position of strength even on the road, yet in the current championship, the team has excelled defensively: Massimiliano Allegri's side is the only one yet to concede a goal in away matches. Moreover, in their last seven away Serie A games, Milan has kept five clean sheets and only once conceded more than one goal.
I do not expect Atalanta to suddenly improve their scoring, so my prediction: Atalanta Individual Total Under 1.5
