The Matchday 21 clash in Serie A between Atalanta and Napoli will take place on January 18 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Napoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Andrea Colombo (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 13%.
Predicted lineups for Atalanta vs. Napoli
Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Marco Carnesecchi – Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti, Sead Kolasinac – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson Lourenco, Davide Zappacosta – Mario Pasalic, Charles De Ketelaere – Ademola Lookman.
Napoli (4-3-3): Alex Meret – Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Juan Jesus, Mathias Olivera – Stanislav Lobotka, Andre Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay – Leonardo Spinazzola, Romelu Lukaku, David Neres.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side shared the points with Juventus at home in the last round (1-1). As a result, Atalanta drew their third consecutive Serie A match but extended their unbeaten run in the league to 15 games (11 wins, 4 draws). The Bergamo team dropped to third in the standings, with their gap to leaders Napoli increasing to four points. Notably, Atalanta has scored more goals at home than any other team in this Serie A season, with 26 goals.
Defender Odilon Kossounou and forward Gianluca Scamacca will miss the game due to injuries. Defender Sead Kolasinac is suspended.
- The team has not lost in their last seven home matches in Serie A (6 wins, 1 draw).
- The club has scored at least twice in 13 of their last 14 home league matches.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Atalanta's last 10 home Serie A games.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side defeated Verona 2-0 at home in the last round. As a result, Napoli secured their fifth consecutive league victory. In the last three matches, the team also kept clean sheets, marking their 12th shutout in this Serie A season. Moreover, the club boasts the best defensive record in the current league campaign, with only 12 goals conceded. Napoli remains at the top of the standings with 47 points.
Defenders Mathias Olivera and Alessandro Buongiorno will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club is unbeaten in their last nine away Serie A matches (7 wins, 2 draws).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 7 of the team's last 10 away league games.
- Napoli has not conceded more than one goal in their last nine away Serie A matches.
Atalanta vs. Napoli: Match Prediction
The attacking style employed by Gian Piero Gasperini's team yields many goals, but it often compromises defensive solidity. Even at home, Atalanta rarely keeps a clean sheet, conceding in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
Napoli, although focusing more on defense under Antonio Conte, has not neglected their attacking duties. The team regularly finds the net even on the road, having failed to score only once in their last nine away Serie A matches, and that was against a defensively solid Juventus. Moreover, in the last four head-to-head encounters at Atalanta's home in the league, Napoli has scored at least two goals.
I expect at least one goal from the visitors, so my prediction: Napoli individual total over 0.5