The Matchday 21 Serie A clash between Atalanta and Napoli will take place on January 18 at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo. Atalanta vs. Napoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Andrea Colombo (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 13%.
Predicted lineups for Atalanta vs. Napoli
Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Marco Carnesecchi – Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti, Sead Kolasinac – Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson, Davide Zappacosta – Mario Pasalic, Charles De Ketelaere – Ademola Lookman.
Napoli (4-3-3): Alex Meret – Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Juan Jesus, Matias Olivera – Stanislav Lobotka, André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay – Leonardo Spinazzola, Romelu Lukaku, David Neres.
Each team's starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
Atalanta
Gian Piero Gasperini's side shared the points with Juventus at home in the last round (1-1). Consequently, Atalanta recorded their third consecutive draw in Serie A, but extended their unbeaten run in the league to 15 matches (11 wins, 4 draws). The Bergamaschi have slipped to third in the standings, with their gap to leaders Napoli now four points. Notably, Atalanta have scored the most goals at home in the current Serie A season – 26 goals.
Defender Odilon Kossounou and forward Gianluca Scamacca will miss the game due to injuries. Defender Sead Kolasinac is suspended.
- The team has not lost in their last seven home matches in Serie A (6 wins, 1 draw).
- The club has scored at least twice in 13 of their last 14 home league matches.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Atalanta's last 10 home Serie A matches.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side defeated Verona 2-0 at home in the last round. As a result, Napoli secured their fifth consecutive league victory. Moreover, they have kept clean sheets in their last three matches, recording their 12th shutout in the current Serie A season. Furthermore, the club boasts the best defensive record in the league with just 12 goals conceded. In the standings, Napoli remain at the top with 47 points.
Defenders Matias Olivera and Alessandro Buongiorno will miss the game due to injuries. Notably, before this round, the club sold forward Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to PSG.
- The club is unbeaten in their last nine away matches in Serie A (7 wins, 2 draws).
- At least one of the opponents has failed to score in 7 of the team's last 10 away league matches.
- Napoli have not conceded more than one goal in their last nine away Serie A matches.
Atalanta vs. Napoli: Match Prediction
The attacking style favored by Gian Piero Gasperini's side yields a high number of goals, but often comes at the expense of defensive solidity. Even at home, Atalanta rarely keeps a clean sheet, conceding in 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
While Napoli under Antonio Conte has placed more emphasis on defense, they have not neglected their attacking duties. The team regularly finds the back of the net even on the road, failing to score only once in their last nine away Serie A matches, and that was against a defensively solid Juventus. Additionally, in their last four league meetings at Atalanta, Napoli has scored at least two goals.
I expect at least one goal from the visitors, so my prediction: Napoli Individual Total Over 0.5
