The Matchday 14 La Liga clash between Athletic and Real Sociedad will take place on November 24 at the San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. Athletic vs. Real Sociedad: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Jesús Gil Manzano (Spain)
Matches – 5 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 7.2;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 40%.
Predicted lineups for Athletic vs. Real Sociedad
Athletic (4-2-3-1): Julen Agirrezabala – Oscar De Marcos, Aitor Paredes, Yeray Alvarez, Adama Boiro – Benat Prados, Mikel Jauregi – Nico Serrano, Unai Gomez, Nico Williams – Alex Berenguer.
Real Sociedad (4-1-4-1): Alejandro Remiro – Jon Abaramburu, Igor Zubeldia, Nayef Aguerd, Aihen Munoz – Martin Zubimendi – Sheraldo Becker, Luka Sucic, Takefusa Kubo, Brais Mendez – Mikel Oyarzabal.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Athletic
The Bilbao club is unbeaten in four consecutive league matches. This streak is the second of its kind in the current La Liga campaign. After a resounding 4-1 victory over Espanyol, Ernesto Valverde's side has drawn three times. The Basques are in sixth place in the standings, just four points behind the top four.
- Athletic has avoided defeat in 8 of their last 9 La Liga matches (4 wins and 4 draws).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Athletic's last 7 La Liga matches.
- The number "1" appeared in the final scoreline in 6 of Athletic's last 7 league matches.
Real Sociedad
The San Sebastian side has secured back-to-back victories in the league for the first time this season, both with clean sheets. They first defeated Sevilla away 2-0, then surprisingly beat Barcelona 1-0 at home. Notably, Imanol Alguacil's team has kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 7 La Liga matches. Thanks to their excellent defensive play, they have climbed to 8th place, just two points behind Athletic.
- Real Sociedad has lost only once in their last seven La Liga matches (4 wins and 2 draws).
- At least one team failed to score in 9 of their last 10 league matches.
- No more than two goals were scored in 9 of Real Sociedad's last 10 La Liga matches.
Athletic vs. Real Sociedad: Match Prediction
Determining the winner in the Basque derby is challenging, so I propose a combined bet. Both clubs are in good form and close in the standings, but I give a slight edge to the hosts. Athletic has lost only once in their last 25 home league matches (15 wins and 9 draws).
I do not recommend betting on a straight win for Bilbao, as Real Sociedad has lost only once in their last seven away La Liga games, keeping clean sheets in six of them. No more than two goals were scored in Real Sociedad's last 10 away league matches.
Cracking the visitors' defense will be extremely difficult. Real Sociedad concedes the fewest goals in away league matches. Meanwhile, defeating Athletic at home is very challenging, as the team has not conceded more than one goal in eight consecutive home matches. Additionally, in 6 of their last 8 home league matches, no more than two goals were scored.
My prediction – "1X and Total Under 2.5 goals"