Matchday 14 of La Liga will see Atletico Madrid face Alaves on November 23 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura (Spain)
Matches – 6 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 27;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 50%.
Predicted lineups for Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2): Jan Oblak – Clement Lenglet, Jose Maria Gimenez, Javi Galan, Reinildo Mandava – Pablo Barrios, Koke, Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo Riquelme – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.
Alaves (4-3-3): Antonio Sivera – Nahuel Tenaglia, Adrian Pica, Manu Sanchez, Abdel Abqar – Antonio Blanco, Jon Guridi, Ander Guevara – Abderrahman Rebbach, Carlos Vicente, Kike Garcia.
The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Atletico Madrid
The capital club has only one defeat in the current championship (the same as their city rivals Real). In the 11th round, Madrid lost away to Betis (0-1), after which they secured two consecutive clean-sheet victories against Las Palmas (2-0) and Mallorca (1-0). This allowed them to solidify their third-place position in the table and pull five points clear of the closest challenger outside the Champions League zone. Notably, Atletico's defense has conceded just seven goals, the best record in La Liga.
Midfielder Thomas Lemar and defender Nahuel Molina will miss the match due to injuries.
- In 7 of Atletico's last 8 La Liga games, more than two goals have not been scored.
- Atletico has not conceded more than one goal in their last 11 league matches.
- The club is unbeaten in their last six home games in La Liga (4 wins, 2 draws).
Alaves
The Basque side lost to Villarreal (0-3) in their last away match. This was their sixth defeat in the last seven league games (with one win against Mallorca – 1-0). Thanks to a strong start, the club is in 15th place, three points clear of the nearest relegation zone rival. Luis Garcia's team has conceded 22 goals, with only Valladolid having a worse defensive record in La Liga (25 goals).
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Alaves' last 6 league matches.
- Two or more goals have been scored in 9 of the Basques' last 11 La Liga matches.
- The club has conceded at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 away league games.
Atletico Madrid vs. Alaves: Match Prediction
Diego Simeone's team should have no trouble dealing with Alaves. The Basques are in poor form, losing not only to La Liga's top teams but also to mid-table sides. Moreover, the team has failed to score in 4 of their last 6 league matches. It's worth noting how Luis Garcia's side performs away – they have lost all five of their previous away league games.
Additionally, the head-to-head record favors Atletico. Madrid have won all six of their last home encounters against Alaves in La Liga. In this series, the Basques have managed only three goals. Furthermore, Atletico's home form is particularly impressive – the club has secured 30 wins in their last 36 league home matches (4 draws and 2 losses).
My prediction – Atletico Madrid with a handicap (-1)