Matchday 4 of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Atletico Madrid (Spain) and Union (Belgium) will take place on November 4 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Union: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Atletico Madrid
After the first three rounds of the Champions League, Atletico Madrid has only one victory and three points out of a possible nine. Notably, their sole win came at home: following a disappointing defeat in their opening match against Liverpool, Atletico bounced back with a convincing win over Eintracht. Diego Simeone's men then suffered another loss, this time away against Arsenal. In their last outing in London, the Spaniards ended a 10-match scoring streak in the Champions League. Additionally, Atletico has yet to keep a clean sheet in this season's competition and currently sits 19th in the standings.
- The Spaniards have conceded in 7 of their last 8 Champions League games.
- The team's uncompromising streak in this tournament spans 20 matches (13 wins, 7 losses).
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Atletico's last 8 Champions League encounters.
Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Jan Oblak – Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Jose Maria Gimenez, David Gantzko – Koke, Alex Baena, Conor Gallagher, Giuliano Simeone – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez.
Key midfielder Pablo Barrios is injured.
Union
The Champions League debutants started with a surprising away win against PSV, but their next two matches were disappointing, as Union suffered consecutive 0-4 defeats at home to Newcastle and Inter. As a result, they have the same three points as Atletico but occupy the 24th spot in the overall standings due to a worse goal difference. The club has failed to keep a clean sheet in six consecutive Champions League matches. This season, Union has conceded nine goals in total, with only three teams faring worse in this regard.
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Union's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The Belgian side's uncompromising streak in this European competition stands at 7 games (2 wins, 5 losses).
- The club has not scored more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 Champions League encounters.
Predicted lineup for Union (3-4-3)
Kjell Scherpen – Fedde Leysen, Kevin McAllister, Christian Burgess – Anan Halaili, Adem Zorgane, Mathias Rasmussen, Ousseynou Niang – Anouar Ait-El-Hadj, Kamil van de Perre, David Promis.
Referee
Espen Eskos (Germany)
Matches – 7 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 29%.
Atletico Madrid vs. Union: Match Prediction
Both clubs have not had the best results in the Champions League, but their matches have been high-scoring affairs. In all three of Atletico's games this season, at least four goals have been scored. This trend is not new, as at least three goals have been witnessed in 15 of Atletico's last 16 Champions League games. Considering their home matches, 7 of their last 8 games in this competition have been high-scoring. It's also worth noting that Diego Simeone's side has won in regular time in 10 of their last 11 home Champions League matches.
Union's games in this season's Champions League have also seen at least four goals. This scoring is largely due to frequent defensive errors, as the Belgians have scored only three times but conceded nine. In fact, fewer than three goals have been scored in only one of Union's last six Champions League matches, with five of these ending in defeat for the club.
Prediction – Home win and total over 2.5 goals
