The first leg of the 2025/26 Champions League round of 16 tie between Atletico Madrid (Spain) and Tottenham Hotspur (England) will take place on 10 March at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Hotspur: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid finished the league phase in 14th place in the standings. In the play-offs, the club knocked out Club Brugge thanks to a big win in the decisive home match (4:1). As a result, the home team will feature in the Champions League round of 16 for the third straight year and for the seventh time in the last eight seasons. It is worth noting that this season the side still have not kept a clean sheet in the competition, but they have scored in every match apart from the autumn trip to Arsenal (0:4). We should also add that the hosts have won just one of their last 10 European games against English clubs (2 draws, 7 defeats), although across the previous 17 home meetings with English opposition in the Champions League, Atletico have suffered only two defeats (8 wins, 7 draws).
- Nine of the club’s last 10 Champions League matches have gone over the total.
- The Madrid side’s uncompromising home run in this tournament stands at 15 games (13 wins, 2 defeats).
- Atletico have scored in 16 consecutive home matches in the Champions League.
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur rather surprisingly finished fourth in the Champions League league phase. After eight matchdays, the club lost only once away from home, against Paris Saint-Germain (3:5). The away side have kept five clean sheets in their last six European matches, and overall in the previous stage they conceded seven goals — bettered by only Arsenal (4). As a result, the visitors have reached the Champions League round of 16 for the first time since the 2022/23 season. It is also worth noting that the London club’s scoring run in this tournament now stands at five games, and in each of those matches Tottenham have scored at least twice.
- The club have won with a (+1.5) handicap in six of their last seven away matches in the Champions League.
- Tottenham have failed to beat Spanish teams in six consecutive away European matches (3 draws, 3 defeats).
- The English side’s uncompromising run in the Champions League stands at five matches (4 wins, 1 defeat).
Referee
Serdar Gozubuyuk (Netherlands)
Matches – 9 (international fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 28;
Penalties – 44%.
Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham Hotspur: Match Prediction
Atletico Madrid continue their Champions League campaign, although the team still lack balance. The hosts have scored in nine of their last 10 matches in this European season, and overall the club have failed to score in just one of their last 18 Champions League games. Their current scoring streak in this tournament stands at seven matches. At the same time, in this Champions League campaign Atletico have not managed to keep a clean sheet even once. In each of the previous five home matches for the Spanish side in the Champions League, both teams have scored.
Tottenham Hotspur are highly efficient in attack. During the current scoring run, which has reached five Champions League matches, the club have averaged 2.8 goals per 90 minutes. At the same time, the English side were one of the most reliable teams in the league phase of the tournament. However, the London club now face a very tough away trip, and on the road Tottenham have kept a clean sheet in only three of their last 10 Champions League matches.
Most likely, we will see an entertaining match with goals at both ends.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
