The Bundesliga Matchday 28 encounter between Augsburg and Bayern Munich will take place on April 4 at the WWK Arena. Augsburg vs. Bayern Munich: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Augsburg
In the previous round, the team shared points away with Hoffenheim (1-1), extending their unbeaten streak in the league to 11 matches (6 wins, 5 draws). It's worth noting that during this period, Jess Thorup's side has never conceded more than one goal in a match. However, Augsburg's attack seems modest, with only 30 goals scored – the fewest among the top half of the table. In the overall standings, they occupy the eighth position.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 6 of Augsburg's last 7 Bundesliga games.
- Jess Thorup's team has not lost in 8 of their last 10 home league matches (5 wins, 3 draws).
- In 7 of their last 8 home games in this tournament, the club has not scored more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Augsburg (4-5-1)
Finn Dahmen – Cedric Zesiger, Jeffrey Gouweleeuw, Chrislain Matsima, Dimitris Giannoulis – Marius Wolf, Frank Onyeka, Elvis Rexhbecaj, Alexis Claude-Maurice, Fredrik Jensen – Phillip Tietz.
Bayern Munich
The Munich side avoided dropping points for the third consecutive match. After losing to Bochum and drawing with Union, Vincent Kompany's team secured a victory over St. Pauli (3-2). However, it's worth noting that Bayern failed to keep a clean sheet for the second time in the current season across four consecutive matches. Nevertheless, they still boast the most reliable defense, having conceded just 26 goals. The club leads the standings, six points ahead of their closest pursuer.
- At least 3 goals have been scored in 9 of Bayern's last 11 Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern has conceded in 5 of their last 7 away league games.
- The team has defeated their upcoming opponent in 8 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings in this tournament (2 losses).
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Konrad Laimer, Eric Dier, Raphael Guerreiro, Kim Min-jae – Leroy Sane, Michael Olise, Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka – Harry Kane.
Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer and defenders Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies, Hiroki Ito are injured.
Referee
Matthias Jöllenbeck (Germany)
Matches – 9 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 22%.
Augsburg vs. Bayern Munich: Match Prediction
Jess Thorup's team is in excellent form. Augsburg is on a record-breaking unbeaten run in the Bundesliga. Moreover, the team has already reached 10 victories, whereas in 4 of the last 5 seasons, this number was the club's total for the entire championship. At home, Augsburg shows good results, not losing in 10 of 13 matches in the current tournament, with two of the three defeats suffered by a minimal margin.
The Munich side somewhat calmed their fans with a victory in the last round, but it cannot be said that Bayern confidently defeated one of the tournament's underdogs. Moreover, away, Vincent Kompany's team has managed to win with at least a two-goal advantage in only one of the last eight Bundesliga matches. Next week, the team faces a Champions League match, and it's unlikely that Bayern will put all their efforts into the national tournament. Besides, they last defeated their closest opponent on their ground by more than one goal in 2018.
My prediction: Augsburg with a handicap (+1.5)
