The Matchday 27 clash in Ligue 1 between Auxerre and Montpellier will take place on March 30 at the Stade Abbé-Deschamps. Auxerre vs. Montpellier: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Auxerre
Auxerre drew their previous league match against Nice with a score of 1-1. Thus, the club has avoided defeat in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches (2 wins, 3 draws). It's also worth noting that Auxerre has been consistently finding the back of the net, scoring in 7 of their last 8 encounters. However, the team still has a negative goal difference this season in Ligue 1, with 37 goals scored and 39 conceded. In the elite French division standings, the club is in 11th place, with a solid 11-point cushion from the relegation playoff zone.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 7 of Auxerre's last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- At home, the club has not lost in 10 of their last 11 matches in this tournament (5 wins, 5 draws).
- Auxerre has scored at least twice in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
Predicted lineup for Auxerre (5-4-1)
Donovan Leon – Gideon Mensah, Gabriel Osho, Jubal, Sinaly Diomande, Ki-Jana Hoever – Elisha Owusu, Gaetan Perrin, Kevin Danois, Amad Traore – Theo Bair.
Montpellier
The team's previous Ligue 1 match against Saint-Etienne was halted in the 61st minute with a score of 0-2 due to crowd disturbances. Before that, Montpellier had lost 6 consecutive league matches, marking the longest current losing streak in the tournament. Unsurprisingly, the club is at the bottom of the Ligue 1 table, trailing the safe 15th spot by 8 points. Additionally, Montpellier has the worst record for both goals scored and conceded this season, with 21 goals scored and 59 conceded.
- The team's uncompromising streak in Ligue 1 stands at 10 matches (2 wins, 8 losses).
- Montpellier failed to score in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
- On the road, Montpellier has lost 11 of their last 12 matches in the French top league (1 win).
Predicted lineup for Montpellier (4-5-1)
Benjamin Lecomte – Falaye Sacko, Modibo Sagnan, Kiki Kouyate, Theo Sainte-Luce – Rabbi Matondo, Joris Chotard, Otman Maamria, Teji Savanier, Tanguy Koulibaly – Andy Delort.
Defenders Kiki Kouyate and Theo Sainte-Luce will miss the game due to yellow card suspensions.
Referee
Marc Bollinger (France)
Matches – 13 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 38%.
Auxerre vs. Montpellier: Match Prediction
The visitors are on the longest losing streak in Ligue 1, spanning 6 matches. In their last league fixture, the club was trailing Saint-Etienne 0-2 before the game was halted due to crowd trouble. I don't think the struggling Montpellier will be able to break their losing streak in the upcoming match. Auxerre, at this stage and throughout the season, looks much stronger than the visitors. In 2 of their last 4 league matches, Auxerre has secured clean-sheet victories, including a 3-0 win against one of the current championship leaders, Marseille.
I am confident that Jean-Louis Gasset's side will again face defensive issues. Montpellier is the worst team in Ligue 1 in terms of goals conceded this season and has failed to keep a clean sheet in 31 consecutive matches, not including the halted game from the last round. Auxerre, on the other hand, is good in attack and regularly scores against opponents. In 5 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches, they have scored at least 2 goals. In the first-round match, which Auxerre lost to the upcoming opponent, they scored twice against Montpellier (2-3).
Therefore, my prediction is a bet on Auxerre Individual Total Over 1.5 goals.
