The Matchday 33 clash in Ligue 1 between Auxerre and Nantes will take place on May 10 at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. Auxerre vs. Nantes: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Auxerre
Auxerre suffered their third defeat in four Ligue 1 matches (1 win) after losing 1-2 to Le Havre in the previous round. This is hardly surprising as the team has secured their place in the top flight and has no motivation for European competitions, sitting 10th in the French championship. As a result of this poor run, the team has a negative goal difference this season with 46 goals scored and 47 conceded. Nevertheless, Auxerre continues to score regularly, extending their scoring streak in the tournament to eight matches.
- The team's uncompromising streak in the French championship is six matches (3 wins, 3 losses).
- Auxerre has not won in 8 of their last 10 home matches in this tournament (5 draws, 3 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in Auxerre's last four Ligue 1 matches.
Predicted lineup for Auxerre (5-4-1)
Donovan Leon – Fredrik Oppegard, Clement Akpa, Sinley Diomande, Jubal, Paul Joly – Gaetan Perrin, Han-Noah Massengo, Assane Diousse, Ado Onaiwu – Lassine Sinayoko.
Nantes
The Bretons extended their winless run in the French championship to four matches (2 draws, 2 losses) after a 0-1 defeat to Angers in the previous game. Moreover, Nantes failed to score in their last two matches. As a result of their loss in the last round, the club dropped to 15th place in the Ligue 1 standings, with their gap from the relegation playoff zone reduced to just one point. It is worth noting that in away matches, the Bretons regularly concede, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 matches. Also, in the first round, Nantes defeated Auxerre 2-0.
- The club has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 matches in the top French division.
- The team has failed to win in 12 of their last 14 away matches in Ligue 1 (4 draws, 8 losses).
- Both teams have scored in 11 of Nantes' last 12 away matches in the championship.
Predicted lineup for Nantes (4-3-3)
Anthony Lopes – Kelvin Amian, Jean-Charles Castelletto, Nathan Zeze, Fabien Centonze – Pedro Chirivella, Johann Lepenant, Louis Leroux – Mathis Ablin, Mostafa Mohamed, Moses Simon.
Referee
Marc Bollenger (France)
Matches – 17 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 55;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 29%.
Auxerre vs. Nantes: Match Prediction
The hosts are clearly playing out the end of the season without any competitive motivation. In contrast, the visitors desperately need points. Nantes is fighting for survival, and a win in the upcoming match could at least secure them a playoff spot, giving them a 5-point cushion from the relegation zone. I believe the hosts will not put up much resistance in this match, but I am confident that Auxerre will score their "routine" goal. The team is on an 8-match scoring streak in the league, finding the net against much stronger opponents than Nantes.
Moreover, the Bretons themselves will be forced to push forward, and they already have an unreliable defense that regularly concedes. Nantes has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 away matches in Ligue 1. However, in attack, the Bretons are not so bad and regularly trouble their opponents. Nantes has scored in 11 of their last 12 away matches in the championship. Moreover, in all 11 cases, both teams scored.
Therefore, I am confident that both teams will score; my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
