Azerbaijan vs Estonia: betting odds November 16, 2024

The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Azerbaijan and Estonia in Group 1 of League C will take place on November 16 at the City Stadium in Gabala. Azerbaijan vs. Estonia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee: John Beaton (Scotland)

Matches – 8 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.9;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 63%.

Predicted lineups for Azerbaijan vs. Estonia

Azerbaijan (4-3-3): Rza Safarov – Anton Krivotsyuk, Badavi Huseynov, Bahlul Mustafazade, Elvin Jafarguliyev – Emin Makhmudov, Joshgun Diniyev, Aleksey Isaev – Ramil Sheydayev, Rustam Akhmedzade, Toral Bayramov.

Estonia (4-5-1): Karl Hein – Karol Mets, Joonas Tamm, Märten Kuusk, Maksim Paskotsi – Markus Poom, Martin Miller, Sergei Zenjov, Vlasiy Sinyavskiy, Rocco Robert Shein – Henri Anier.

Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.

Azerbaijan

The Azerbaijanis have lost all their matches in the current Nations League campaign, conceding at least two goals in each game. The team leads the list of the most unreliable defenses in League C, having conceded 11 goals. Unsurprisingly, Azerbaijan is at the bottom of the group standings, trailing their upcoming opponent by three points. If they drop points in this match, the team will remain in last place. Notably, both upcoming opponents have scored three goals in the current tournament.

Forward Mahir Emreli will not play due to suspension.

• Azerbaijan's uncompromising streak in the Nations League includes 8 matches (3 wins, 5 losses).
• At least 3 goals have been scored in 5 of the team's last 6 matches in this tournament.
• The team has not scored more than once in 6 of their last 8 home Nations League matches.

Estonia

The Estonians lost 0-3 to Sweden in the last round, suffering their third goalless defeat in the current tournament (1 win). The only victory in the 2024/25 Nations League was achieved against Azerbaijan, winning 3-1. With these results, Estonia is in third place in the group standings, and by earning points in the upcoming match, they will secure their place in League C, finishing third.

• The team has not drawn in 9 Nations League matches (5 wins, 4 losses).
• At least 3 goals have been scored in 6 of Estonia's last 7 Nations League matches.
• At least one opponent has failed to score in 8 of Estonia's last 10 away Nations League matches.

Azerbaijan vs. Estonia: Match Prediction

Fernando Santos's side is struggling in the current Nations League edition and is close to relegation to Division D, sitting at the bottom of their group and the overall standings for fourth-placed teams. I'm confident the hosts will approach this match with utmost determination, as dropping points would be disastrous. The Azerbaijani team should be motivated by revenge after losing 1-3 to Estonia in the first-round match despite having the upper hand.

It's unlikely the Baltic team will get lucky in two consecutive matches against Azerbaijan. Even on home soil, they looked inferior to their upcoming opponent. Azerbaijan is capable of defeating a team like Estonia at home. Yes, they lost two home matches in the current Nations League campaign, but those losses were to strong teams like Sweden and Slovakia. Before that, they defeated Belarus (2-0) and Kazakhstan (3-0) at home in the Nations League, who are stronger than Estonia.

I believe that wounded pride and home support will help the hosts secure the much-needed 3 points. My prediction: Victory for Azerbaijan