Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage will see Barcelona (Spain) face Brest (France) on November 26 at the Olympic Stadium Lluís Companys. Barcelona vs. Brest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Irfan Peljto (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Matches – 13 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 46;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 38%.
Predicted lineups for Barcelona vs. Brest
Barcelona (4-3-3): Iñaki Peña – Alejandro Balde, Jules Koundé, Íñigo Martínez, Pau Cubarsi – Pablo Torre, Pedri, Marc Casado – Lamine Yamal, Raphinha Dias, Robert Lewandowski.
Brest (4-3-3): Marco Bizot – Kenny Lala, Brendan Chardonnet, Soumaïla Coulibaly, Massadio Haïdara – Mahdi Camara, Hugo Magnetti, Romain Faivre – Abdallah Sima, Ludovic Ajorque, Romain Del Castillo.
Barcelona
After an unexpected 1-2 defeat to Monaco in the opening round, the Catalans have since secured three Champions League victories, all with a significant margin. At home, Hans Flick's side thrashed Young Boys (5-0) and Bayern Munich (4-1), before defeating Crvena Zvezda (5-2) away. This has lifted them to sixth in the standings. With 15 goals scored, Barcelona is the highest-scoring team in the group stage of the Champions League.
Injuries currently sideline goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen, forward Ansu Fati, defenders Ronald Araújo and Andreas Christensen, and midfielder Marc Bernal.
- At least three goals have been scored in Barcelona's last seven matches in this tournament.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Barcelona's last 10 Champions League matches.
- Two or more goals have been scored in the first half of Barcelona's last five Champions League matches.
Brest
The French side is in a strong fourth place in the group stage of the Champions League. Eric Roy's team thrashed Salzburg (4-0), defeated Sturm Graz and Sparta Prague 2-1, and drew 1-1 with Bayer Leverkusen. Brest is one of six clubs still unbeaten after four rounds. Notably, they have only conceded three goals, with only six teams boasting better defensive records.
- Brest's uncompromising away series in the Champions League and Ligue 1 stands at 13 matches (7 wins and 6 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in Brest's last six away matches in the Champions League and Ligue 1.
- In Brest's last six official matches, the second half ended in a draw.
Barcelona vs. Brest: Match Prediction
I believe that Brest's unbeaten run in their debut Champions League season is coming to an end. They finally face a top-tier opponent. Previously, Eric Roy's team faced weaker opponents, and they played Bayer Leverkusen at home. It's also important to note that despite their European success, Brest struggles to balance two competitions, which has affected their Ligue 1 results, where they are in the lower half of the table.
The Spanish team confidently leads the league. Despite some losses in the league, the Catalans have pulled away from Real Madrid, frequently winning in both the Champions League and La Liga. Notably, Barcelona excels at home in this tournament, winning six of their last seven matches, with the only loss coming against PSG in last season's quarter-finals. In this series, they have scored at least two goals in six matches. Additionally, they remain unbeaten at home in the current La Liga season, winning all five matches with a combined score of 18-3.
My prediction – Barcelona with a handicap (-2)