The La Liga round 21 match between Barcelona and Real Oviedo will take place on 25 january at Camp Nou. Barcelona vs Real Oviedo: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Barcelona
Barcelona had avoided slip-ups for a long time, but their last La Liga match against Real Sociedad ended not in a simple dropped point but in a narrow defeat (0:1). At the same time, it should be said that the home side was very unlucky, as they outperformed the opponent several times across all key metrics, including xG – 3.68 versus 1.01. Nevertheless, the home side ended a 9-match winning run in the Spanish championship, which reduced their lead over Real Madrid to 1 point. On the positive side, the home side remains the most prolific club in La Liga, having scored 54 goals in total since the start of the season.
- Barcelona have found the net in 40 consecutive La Liga matches.
- The club’s uncompromising run in this competition stands at 17 games (14 wins, 3 defeats).
- In the current championship Barcelona have not yet dropped points at home; all 9 past home matches have been victories.
Potential Barcelona Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Joan García – Jules Koundé, Pau Cubarsí, Eric García, Alex Baldé – Frenkie de Jong, Pedri – Dani Olmo, Lamine Yamal, Fermín López – Ferran Torres.
Forward Ferran Torres, defender Andreas Christensen, and midfielders Pedri and Gavi are unavailable due to injuries.
Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo suffered a painful away defeat to Osasuna (2:3) in the previous La Liga round. The away side led twice but ultimately did not secure even a draw, conceding the decisive goal at the very end. This ended a run of three draws in the championship and marked the first defeat in four matches under Guillermo Almada. The winless run for the visitors in this competition has already reached 13 matches (7 draws, 6 defeats). Since their return to La Liga, the club have recorded only 2 wins and collected 13 points from 20 rounds. With such figures the team naturally occupy the bottom of the table, trailing the safety of 17th place by 7 points.
- The club have scored 11 goals in the current La Liga season, the worst total in the competition.
- Real Oviedo have conceded in all 10 away matches in the current championship.
- At least 2 goals were scored in 5 of the team’s last 7 La Liga games.
Potential Real Oviedo Lineup (4-4-2)*
Aaron Escandell – Rahim Alhassan, David Costas, Oier Luengo, Lucas Aihado – Santiago Colombatto, Kwasi Sibo, Hesham Hassan, Ilyas Chaira – Alberto Reina, Federico Viñas.
The suspension of defender David Carmo has come to an end. Midfielder Ovi Ejaria and defender Eric Bailly are unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Juan Martínez (Spain)
Matches – 9 (the La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 38;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match average – 27;
Penalties – 44%.
Barcelona vs Real Oviedo: Match Prediction
Barcelona, the league leader, will host the worst team in the championship. The favorite in this pairing is obvious, especially after the home side’s defeat by Real Sociedad in the last round. After a long successful stretch the club received a cold shower and has been closely approached by Real Madrid; now any slip-up could cost them first place in the table. It should be noted that during the interrupted winning run in La Liga Barcelona regularly beat opponents by a comfortable two-goal margin, but a rout occurred in only 1 of the 9 matches during that period. Even at Camp Nou the home side recorded only one big win in the last seven La Liga matches.
The visitors still face serious problems in the battle for survival; since the start of October the club have been unable to win in 13 La Liga rounds. However, it is worth noting that 7 of those 13 games ended in draws, and in the defeats the team rarely surrendered without a fight. Across the current La Liga season Real Oviedo have suffered only 2 heavy defeats. Playing away, the visitors avoided being routed in 9 of their last 10 championship matches.
Prediction: Real Oviedo (+3)
* For each team the starting lineup shown corresponds to their last match in this competition.
