The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between Bayer Leverkusen (Germany) and Bayern Munich (Germany) will take place on March 11 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. The first match ended 3-0 in favor of Bayern. Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen
In the first leg, Leverkusen's six-match unbeaten run against Bayern in official matches came to an end with a heavy 0-3 defeat. To advance to the quarter-finals, Bayer needs to win by at least four goals in regular time. Notably, Xabi Alonso's side has already achieved two such victories in this tournament. Additionally, their goal-scoring streak in the Champions League, which lasted four matches, was halted in the last game.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 8 of Leverkusen's last 10 Champions League matches.
- Bayer has not lost at home in this tournament for 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw).
- The team has kept a clean sheet in their last five home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Bayer (4-4-2)
Matej Kovar – Piero Hincapié, Arthur, Jonathan Tah, Mario Hermoso – Exequiel Palacios, Jeremie Frimpong, Granit Xhaka, Alejandro Grimaldo – Nathan Tella, Amine Adli.
Defender Nordi Mukiele is suspended for this match. Midfielder Florian Wirtz is out for several weeks due to injury. Forward Jonas Hofmann is injured.
Bayern Munich
Before the second leg, Munich secured a comfortable advantage. In the upcoming match, Vincent Kompany's team can afford a loss by two goals. In this tournament, Bayern has lost three times, twice by a three-goal margin. A similar outcome would lead to extra time. Notably, the team has kept a clean sheet in only one of their last six Champions League games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Munich's last 6 Champions League matches.
- The club has not won in 6 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament (1 draw, 5 losses).
- Bayern has conceded in their last 8 away games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Bayern (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Raphael Guerreiro, Dayot Upamecano, Kim Min-jae, Konrad Laimer – Kingsley Coman, Michael Olise, Leon Goretzka, Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich – Harry Kane.
Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer is injured. Midfielder Alexander Pavlovic is unavailable due to illness.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 10%.
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich: Match Prediction
Vincent Kompany has learned from the unsuccessful encounter with Leverkusen in the league. In the previous game, Bayern dominated statistically and deservedly won. However, Bayer had a significant advantage over their opponent at home a month ago. The home ground should help Xabi Alonso's team, if not to overturn the tie, then at least to conclude their Champions League season with dignity.
At home in the Champions League, Leverkusen has not lost in 5 matches, securing 4 victories. Additionally, Bayer has not lost to Bayern at home in their last three Bundesliga meetings. Munich, on the other hand, is not currently a formidable force away from home: the team has not won in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 5 losses).
Xabi Alonso's side has no choice but to attack, and they regularly score at home in the Champions League: Bayer has scored in 9 of their last 12 matches. Bayern, meanwhile, does not boast a reliable defense and has conceded in their last 8 away games in this tournament. However, Bayer's exposed defense will likely provide Munich with opportunities to score in return, so I expect at least two goals in the upcoming match.
My prediction: Bayer will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
