The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League Round of 16 between Bayer Leverkusen (Germany) and Bayern Munich (Germany) will take place on March 11 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. The first match ended 3-0 in favor of Bayern. Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen
In the first game, Leverkusen ended a six-match unbeaten streak against Bayern in official matches, losing by a score that will be very difficult to overturn – 0-3. To advance to the quarter-finals, Bayer needs to win in regular time by at least four goals. However, Xabi Alonso's side has managed to achieve two such victories in the current tournament. Additionally, the team's goal-scoring streak in the Champions League, which lasted four matches, was also broken in the last game.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 8 of Leverkusen's last 10 Champions League matches.
- Bayer is unbeaten at home in this tournament for 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw).
- In the last five home matches in the Champions League, the team has not conceded a single goal.
Predicted lineup for Bayer Leverkusen (4-3-3)
Matej Kovar – Alejandro Grimaldo, Arthur, Jonathan Tah, Mario Hermoso – Exequiel Palacios, Jeremie Frimpong, Aleix Garcia – Nathan Tella, Amine Adli, Patrik Schick.
Defender Nordi Mukiele will miss the match due to suspension.
Bayern Munich
Munich secured a comfortable advantage before the return leg. In the upcoming match, Vincent Kompany's side will be satisfied even with a two-goal defeat. In this tournament, Bayern has lost three times (7 wins, 1 draw), with two of those defeats by a three-goal margin. A repeat of such an outcome would lead to extra time. Additionally, the team kept a clean sheet in Leverkusen for the first time in six previous Champions League games.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Bayern's last 6 Champions League matches.
- Away in this tournament, the club has not won in 6 of their last 8 matches (1 draw, 5 losses).
- Bayern has conceded in 8 consecutive away games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Raphael Guerreiro, Dayot Upamecano, Kim Min-jae, Konrad Laimer – Kingsley Coman, Michael Olise, Leon Goretzka, Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich – Harry Kane.
Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer is injured. Midfielder Alexander Pavlovic is unavailable due to illness.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 10%.
Match Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen vs. Bayern Munich
Vincent Kompany has learned from the unsuccessful encounter with Leverkusen in the league. In the previous game, Bayern dominated the statistics and achieved a deserved victory. However, Bayer had a significant home advantage over their opponents a month ago. Home support should help Xabi Alonso's side, if not overturn the tie, then at least finish the Champions League season with dignity.
At home in the Champions League, Leverkusen is unbeaten in 5 matches, winning 4 of them. Additionally, Bayer has not lost to Bayern in three consecutive Bundesliga home meetings. Munich does not currently pose a formidable threat on the road: the team has not won in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 5 losses).
Xabi Alonso's side has no choice but to attack. The club scores at home in the Champions League, albeit not prolifically, but consistently: in 9 of their last 12 matches. Bayern's defense is not reliable, conceding in 8 consecutive away games in this tournament. Meanwhile, Bayer's exposed defense will provide Munich with opportunities to score.
My prediction: Bayer will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
