The Matchday 15 clash in the Bundesliga between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg will take place on December 21 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen vs. Freiburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 6 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 24;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 50%.
Predicted lineups for Bayer Leverkusen vs. Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1): Lukáš Hrádecký – Piero Hincapié, Jonathan Tah, Edmond Tapsoba – Alejandro Grimaldo, Robert Andrich, Granit Xhaka, Jeremie Frimpong – Florian Wirtz, Martin Terrier – Nathan Tella.
Freiburg (4-4-2): Noah Atubolu – Christian Günter, Philipp Lienhart, Matthias Ginter, Lukas Kübler – Vincenzo Grifo, Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Ritsu Doan – Michael Gregoritsch, Lucas Höler.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Bayer Leverkusen
In the last round, the reigning champions secured a 2-0 away victory over Augsburg, extending their winning streak in the Bundesliga to four matches. Bayer Leverkusen's unbeaten run in the league now spans 12 games, with seven wins and five draws. Before the start of Matchday 14, Leverkusen was in third place, trailing leaders Bayern Munich by a solid seven points. However, slip-ups by their two closest competitors significantly improved Bayer's position: they are now in second place, just four points behind Bayern.
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of the club's last 11 home matches in the Bundesliga.
- The team has conceded at least one goal in 8 of their last 9 home league matches.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 9 home matches in this tournament.
Freiburg
In the match that opened Matchday 14 of the Bundesliga, Julian Schuster's side defeated Wolfsburg 3-2. Notably, Freiburg led confidently by three goals in that game but relaxed towards the end, conceding twice. Overall, the team is in good form: in their last six Bundesliga matches, Freiburg has suffered only one defeat – against Borussia Dortmund – while securing two wins and three draws in the remaining games. These results have propelled them into the European competition zone, specifically the Europa League zone, in fifth place. The gap to Leipzig, who are one spot above, is quite small – just three points, but the gap to their closest pursuer is even smaller – only one point.
- Opponents have scored no more than one goal in the first half in 12 of the club's last 13 away games in the Bundesliga.
- At least one team failed to score in 5 of Freiburg's last 7 away matches in this tournament.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 12 of the club's last 14 away matches in the league.
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Freiburg: Match Prediction
Under Xabi Alonso's guidance, Bayer Leverkusen doesn't face issues in attack during league matches but doesn't always score heavily against opponents. The club has scored no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga games. During this period, Bayer has not thrilled their fans with a goal fest even in matches against Holstein Kiel (2-2) and Bochum (1-1), which have the worst defenses in the current Bundesliga campaign.
Freiburg, meanwhile, performs well defensively – the team has conceded only 19 goals in this championship. Additionally, the club rarely concedes heavily – Julian Schuster's side has not allowed opponents to score more than twice in 11 of their 14 Bundesliga 2024/25 matches. The head-to-head statistics are also notable – Bayer has scored no more than two goals in 6 of their last 7 meetings in this tournament. I expect the upcoming match to be no exception. My prediction: Bayer Individual Total Under 2.5
