The German Cup quarter-final match between Bayer and Cologne will take place on February 5 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer vs. Cologne: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer
The defending champions are confidently progressing in the 2024/25 German Cup. After winning two matches against lower-division teams, Xabi Alonso's side defeated Bayern Munich away in the previous round (1-0). This victory marked Bayer's ninth consecutive win in the national cup, with the team keeping a clean sheet in six of those matches.
- The team has scored at least three goals in 6 of their last 7 home games in the German Cup.
- Leverkusen has opened the scoring in 8 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Bayer's last 8 home games in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Bayer (4-5-1)
Matej Kovar – Piero Hincapie, Edmond Tapsoba, Nordi Mukiele, Jonathan Tah – Alejandro Grimaldo, Granit Xhaka, Robert Andrich, Jeremie Frimpong, Exequiel Palacios – Florian Wirtz.
Cologne
Gerhard Struber's team reached the quarter-finals after defeating Hertha (1-1, extra time 1-0). Notably, Cologne has suffered only one loss in regular time in their last 12 national cup matches (4 wins, 7 draws). However, the club has not achieved significant success in this tournament: the last time they reached the quarter-finals was in the 2009/2010 season, and they last advanced past this stage in 2002.
- Cologne's scoring streak in the German Cup stands at 6 matches.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 8 away games in the national cup (2 wins, 5 draws).
- The number "2" has appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 4 of Cologne's last 5 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Cologne (3-5-2)
Marvin Schwäbe – Dominic Heinz, Timo Hübers, Julian Pauli – Max Finkgräfe, Denis Huseinbasic, Linton Maina, Jan Thielmann, Eric Martel – Tim Lemperle, Linton Maina.
Referee
Frank Willenborg (Germany)
Matches – 5 (German Cup, 2022/23–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 16;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 40%.
Bayer vs. Cologne: Match Prediction
The teams met in the Bundesliga last season, with both matches won by Leverkusen (2-0, 3-0). It's unlikely that anything will prevent Xabi Alonso's side from defeating Cologne once again. I predict the hosts will secure another victory in a low-scoring affair.
At home, Bayer has been solid defensively: Xabi Alonso's side has not conceded more than one goal in their last 8 official matches. In the national cup, Leverkusen has kept a clean sheet in five consecutive games.
Only one team has conceded fewer goals than Cologne in the league. Away in the Second Bundesliga, Gerhard Struber's side has kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 6 matches. However, their attack has been modest: Cologne has not scored more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 games in Germany's second division. Against a stronger opponent, the club will likely focus on defense, which won't contribute to a high-scoring game.
My prediction: Total under 3.5 goals
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