The Matchday 13 Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and St. Pauli will take place on December 7 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen vs. St. Pauli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Matthias Jöllenbeck (Germany)
Matches – 17 (Bundesliga, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 72;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 12%.
Predicted lineups for Bayer Leverkusen vs. St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen (4-1-4-1): Lukáš Hrádecký – Piero Hincapié, Jonathan Tah, Edmond Tapsoba, Arthur – Robert Andrich – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aleix García, Granit Xhaka, Jeremie Frimpong – Patrik Schick.
St. Pauli (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj – David Nemeth, Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl – Philipp Treu, Jackson Irvine, Carlo Boukhalfa, Manolis Saliakas – Morgan Guilavogui, Johannes Eggestein, Oladapo Afolayan.
Each team's starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
Bayer Leverkusen
In the previous round, Xabi Alonso's side secured a 2-1 away victory against Union. This win extended the club's unbeaten streak in the Bundesliga to ten matches (5 wins, 5 draws). The team currently occupies 3rd place in the German championship standings. They are seven points behind the leaders, while their nearest rival, Leipzig, is just two points adrift of Leverkusen.
- The club has scored at least twice in 12 of their last 13 home Bundesliga matches.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 8 home games in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 9 of the club's last 10 matches at the BayArena in the league.
St. Pauli
In Matchday 12, the team defeated one of their main rivals in the battle for survival, Holstein Kiel, with a 3-1 scoreline. Over the last five Bundesliga games, Alexander Blessin's side has suffered two defeats (2 wins, 1 draw). The club currently sits in 15th place in the league table, with just a one-point cushion above the relegation playoff zone.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 5 of St. Pauli's last 6 away league matches.
- At least one team failed to score in 7 of the club's last 9 games in this tournament.
- St. Pauli has scored no more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga encounters.
Bayer Leverkusen vs. St. Pauli: Match Prediction
Xabi Alonso's side has not encountered significant attacking issues in this championship, but they rarely score excessively against opponents. The club has scored no more than three times in 7 of their last 8 Bundesliga matches. During this period, Bayer Leverkusen did not score heavily even against tournament outsiders like Holstein (2-2) and Bochum (1-1).
St. Pauli plays defensively in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season, with Alexander Blessin's side conceding just 15 goals this season. Moreover, the club has not allowed more than three goals in their last 12 German championship matches. In those games, St. Pauli neutralized Leipzig's attack (0-0) and avoided heavy defeats against Bayern Munich (0-1) and Borussia Dortmund (1-2).
Considering these factors, I believe the hosts are unlikely to delight their fans with a flurry of goals, given St. Pauli's solid defense. My prediction: Bayer Leverkusen Individual Total Under 3
