The Matchday 5 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Bayern Munich (Germany) and PSG (France) will take place on November 26 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 19 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 108;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 16%.
Predicted lineups for Bayern Munich vs. PSG
Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer – Alphonso Davies, Kim Min-jae, Dayot Upamecano, Raphael Guerreiro – Leon Goretzka, Joshua Kimmich – Kingsley Coman, Jamal Musiala, Michael Olise – Harry Kane.
PSG (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, William Pacho, Nuno Mendes – Joao Neves, Warren Zaire-Emery, Vitinha – Ousmane Dembele, Marco Asensio, Bradley Barcola.
Bayern Munich
Vincent Kompany's side overcame Benfica at home in the last round (1-0). As a result, Bayern secured a victory after two consecutive defeats in the Champions League. In the standings, the Germans climbed to 17th position and have the third-highest goal tally in the group stage (11). Notably, Bayern boasts the best home record: two wins with a goal difference of 10:2.
Defenders Josip Stanisic and Hiroki Ito, midfielders Alexander Pavlovic and Joao Palhinha, as well as forward Mathys Tel, will miss the match due to injuries.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last 18 home matches in the Champions League (14 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 13 of their last 16 home games in this European competition.
- The Germans have scored at least two goals in regular time in 9 of their last 12 home matches in the Champions League.
PSG
In the last round, Luis Enrique's side was defeated at home by Atletico Madrid with a score of 1-2. As a result, PSG failed to win for the third consecutive Champions League match (1 draw, 2 losses). Additionally, the team has not scored more than one goal in regular time in their last six matches in this European competition. With four points, the French side is in 25th place in the standings and currently outside the playoff zone.
Defender Lucas Hernandez will miss the match due to injury.
- The club has not won in regular time in 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 5 losses).
- The team has conceded exactly one or two goals in 90 minutes in their last six away matches in the Champions League.
- Both opponents scored in regular time in 12 of PSG's last 15 away matches in this European competition.
Bayern Munich vs. PSG: Match Prediction
The Germans are rightly considered favorites in this matchup: at home, Bayern appears almost invincible and consistently achieves maximum results. In their last 18 home matches in the Champions League, Munich has failed to win in regular time only four times, and in seven matches during this period, the team secured large victories. In the current edition of this European competition, the club has been stronger than their opponents in both home matches, scoring a total of ten goals.
PSG has been underwhelming in the current Champions League, and improving their form away at Bayern will be very challenging. The Parisians have been unconvincing on the road and rarely deliver positive results: in their last eight away matches in the Champions League, the team has lost five times in regular time. Moreover, their last encounter with Munich at this European competition also ended in defeat for PSG (0-2).
I expect another quality performance from Bayern, which will earn the hosts three points. My prediction: Bayern Munich win
