The Matchday 5 encounter in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Bayern Munich (Germany) and PSG (France) will take place on November 26 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Istvan Kovacs (Romania)
Matches – 19 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 108;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 16%.
Predicted lineups for Bayern vs. PSG
Bayern (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer – Alphonso Davies, Kim Min-jae, Dayot Upamecano, Raphael Guerreiro – Leon Goretzka, Joshua Kimmich – Serge Gnabry, Jamal Musiala, Michael Olise – Harry Kane.
PSG (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, William Pacho, Nuno Mendes – Joao Neves, Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha – Ousmane Dembele, Randal Kolo Muani, Bradley Barcola.
Bayern
Vincent Kompany's side overcame the challenge from Portugal's Benfica at home (1-0) in the last round. As a result, Bayern secured a victory following two consecutive Champions League defeats. In the standings, the Germans have accumulated six points, climbing to the 17th position, and boast the third-highest goal tally in the group stage (11). Notably, Bayern has the best home record: two wins and a goal difference of 10:2.
Defenders Josip Stanisic and Hiroki Ito, midfielders Alexander Pavlovic and Joao Palhinha, and forward Mathys Tel will miss the match due to injuries.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last 18 home Champions League matches (14 wins, 4 draws).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in 90 minutes in 13 of their last 16 home fixtures in this European competition.
- The Germans have scored at least two goals in regular time in 9 of their last 12 home Champions League matches.
PSG
In the last round, Luis Enrique's side lost at home to Spain's Atletico with a score of 1-2. Consequently, PSG failed to win their third consecutive Champions League match (1 draw, 2 losses). Furthermore, the team has not managed to score more than one goal in regular time in six matches in this European competition. With four points, the French side is in the 25th position in the standings and outside the playoff zone.
Defenders Lucas Hernandez and Presnel Kimpembe will miss the match due to injury.
- The club has not won in regular time in 6 of their last 8 away Champions League matches (1 draw, 5 losses).
- The team conceded exactly one or two goals in 90 minutes in their last six away fixtures in the Champions League.
- Both opponents scored in regular time in 12 of PSG's last 15 away matches in this European competition.
Bayern vs. PSG: Match Prediction
The Germans are justifiably considered the favorites by bookmakers: Bayern appears nearly invincible at home and consistently achieves maximum results. In their last 18 home Champions League matches, Bayern failed to win in regular time only four times, and in seven matches during this stretch, the team secured convincing victories. In the current edition of this European competition, the club has won both home matches, scoring a total of ten goals.
PSG has been lackluster in the current Champions League, and it will be very challenging to improve their situation away at Bayern. The fact is that PSG looks unconvincing on the road and rarely delights fans with positive results: in their last eight away Champions League encounters, the team lost five times in regular time. Moreover, the last head-to-head meeting with Bayern at their stadium in this European competition also ended in a defeat for PSG (0-2).
I expect another quality performance from Bayern, which will earn the hosts three points. My prediction: Bayern to win