The Matchday 27 clash in the Bundesliga between Bayern Munich and St. Pauli will take place on March 29 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs. St. Pauli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayern Munich
The Munich team has reignited the intrigue in the championship. In the last two rounds, Vincent Kompany's side dropped points: a defeat to Bochum (2-3) and a draw with Union Berlin (1-1). Before that, Bayern had a run of four consecutive victories. Notably, this is only the second time in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season that the team has failed to win in two consecutive matches. The club remains at the top of the league table, but their lead over the nearest rival has narrowed to six points.
- Bayern has not scored more than three goals in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
- In their last 11 home games in the Bundesliga, the Munich team opened the scoring.
- At home, the team has won 10 of their last 11 matches in this tournament (1 loss).
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Alphonso Davies, Eric Dier, Josip Stanisic, Dayot Upamecano – Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise, Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka – Harry Kane.
Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer and defenders Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies are injured.
St. Pauli
The Hamburg team overcame Hoffenheim 1-0 at home in the last round, thus ending a six-match winless streak in the Bundesliga (2 draws, 4 losses). It's worth noting that Alexander Blessin's side has kept a clean sheet for the eighth time in this championship. Overall, St. Pauli has conceded 30 goals – the best record among the lower half of the league table, where the team sits in 15th place.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 11 of St. Pauli's last 13 Bundesliga matches.
- In 7 of their last 8 away league matches, the club has not scored more than one goal.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of St. Pauli's previous away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Siebe Van der Heyden, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, Manolis Saliakas, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith – Noah Weißhaupt, Danel Sinani, Elias Saad.
Forward Morgan Guilavogui and midfielder James Sands are in the club's infirmary.
Referee
Florian Badstübner (Germany)
Matches – 12 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 39;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 25%.
Bayern Munich vs. St. Pauli: Match Prediction
March has not been the best month for the Munich team. They have dropped points twice, in matches against opponents they should have beaten comfortably. Now, Bayern has a third attempt to defeat a representative from the lower half of the league table. However, St. Pauli, with their defense, is a very tough opponent even for a title contender.
Only two clubs in this championship have managed to score more than two goals against the Hamburg team. Bayern defeated Alexander Blessin's side in the first round with just a 1-0 scoreline. St. Pauli has conceded 30 goals, with only Munich and Leverkusen having a better record. However, no team has scored fewer goals than Hamburg.
Vincent Kompany's side has not scored more than three goals in 5 of their last 6 Bundesliga matches. During the international break, 14 of Bayern's first-team players were away with their national teams. It's unlikely that the Munich team's physical condition will allow them to deliver a high-scoring performance. Especially since only a few teams have managed this against Hamburg.
My prediction: Total under 3.5 goals
