Belgium vs Italy: betting odds November 14, 2024

The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Belgium and Italy in Group 2 of League A will take place on November 14 at the King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels. Belgium vs. Italy: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee: Radu Petrescu (Romania)

Matches – 10 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 24;

Penalties – 10%.

Predicted lineups for Belgium vs. Italy

Belgium (4-2-3-1): Koen Casteels – Maxim de Cuyper, Wout Faes, Arthur Theate, Timothy Castagne – Orel Mangala, Amadou Onana – Leandro Trossard, Lois Openda, Dodi Lukebakio – Romelu Lukaku.

Italy (3-5-2): Gianluigi Donnarumma – Alessandro Buongiorno, Alessandro Bastoni, Giovanni Di Lorenzo – Federico Dimarco, Davide Frattesi, Sandro Tonali, Nicolo Barella, Andrea Cambiaso – Giacomo Raspadori, Mateo Retegui.

Belgium

In the last round, Domenico Tedesco's team suffered a 1-2 defeat at home to France. As a result, Belgium has not won in their last three Nations League matches (1 draw, 2 losses). Additionally, the team has conceded in their last six matches in this tournament. Belgium sits third in their group with four points, and only two victories in the remaining games will allow them to hope for a spot in the Nations League quarter-finals.

• The team has won in regular time in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the Nations League.
• At least three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in six of the team's previous home games in this tournament.
• The number "1" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in five of Belgium's last home matches in the Nations League.

Italy

Luciano Spalletti's side confidently defeated Israel 4-1 at home in the last round. As a result, Italy extended their unbeaten run in the Nations League to five matches (4 wins, 1 draw). Furthermore, the team won by a large margin for the first time in this tournament. Italy leads the group with ten points, and one point from the two remaining matches will be enough to secure a spot in the Nations League quarter-finals.

• The team has not lost in regular time in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the Nations League (7 wins, 2 draws).
• Both opponents scored in 90 minutes in 4 of the team's last 5 away games in the Nations League.
• At least three goals have been scored in regular time in six of Italy's last matches in this tournament.

Belgium vs. Italy: Match Prediction

At home, Belgium usually plays very actively with a clear focus on attacking football. Their home matches are high-scoring: in their last ten home Nations League games, they have always scored in regular time, and in eight instances, Belgium scored at least twice. However, defensively, the team rarely plays reliably, not keeping a clean sheet in any of their last six home matches in this tournament.

Italy plays in a similar style, creating many chances up front but not always paying due attention to defense. In their last five away Nations League matches, the team scored at least two goals in regular time but only kept a clean sheet once, when facing a less formidable Hungary.

I expect high scoring in this encounter between such attacking teams, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals