The Matchday 7 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Bologna (Italy) and Borussia Dortmund (Germany) will take place on January 21 at the Renato Dall'Ara Stadium. Bologna vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Serdar Gözübüyük (Netherlands)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 40%.
Predicted lineups for Bologna vs. Borussia Dortmund
Bologna (4-2-3-1): Lukasz Skorupski – Emil Holm, Sam Beukema, Charalampos Lykogiannis, Nicolo Casale – Remo Freuler, Nikola Moro – Dan Ndoye, Jens Odgaard, Riccardo Orsolini – Santiago Castro.
Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1): Gregor Kobel – Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Julian Ryerson – Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer – Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Julian Brandt, Julien Duranville – Serhou Guirassy.
Bologna
Vincenzo Italiano's side played out a goalless draw with Benfica away in the last round. As a result, Bologna's winless streak in the Champions League extended to six matches (2 draws, 4 losses). Furthermore, the club has only scored one goal in the group stage, the worst record among all teams. With two points, the Italians sit in 33rd place but still have a chance to reach the playoffs – they need to win both remaining matches to advance to the next stage.
Midfielder Michel Aebischer will miss the game due to injury.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of the team's last 6 Champions League matches.
- The club conceded in the second half in 4 of their last 5 games in this European competition.
- The Italians have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 Champions League matches.
Borussia Dortmund
In the last round, Nuri Sahin's team lost 2-3 at home to Barcelona. This defeat was their second in the group stage, while they won the other four matches. The club has 12 points and is in ninth position, just one point behind the top eight. Notably, the Germans are highly productive: with 18 goals scored in the group stage, Dortmund trails only Barcelona (21) in this category.
Defender Niklas Süle will miss the match due to injury. Defender Ramy Bensebaini is suspended due to yellow card accumulation. Additionally, forward Donyell Malen left the club during the winter transfer window.
- The club has not lost in regulation time in 6 of their last 8 away Champions League matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of their last 7 away matches in this European competition.
- The Germans have not conceded more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 away Champions League matches.
Bologna vs. Borussia Dortmund: Match Prediction
The debut season in the Champions League is proving very challenging for the Italian club – they struggle to collect points and have only a theoretical chance of advancing to the playoffs. However, Bologna deserves credit for fighting until the end in every match, losing by more than one goal only twice to English clubs away. Moreover, before facing Borussia, the team put in a solid performance against Inter in the league, securing a 2-2 away draw.
Dortmund, although they have secured two away victories in the group stage, achieved them against Club Brugge and Dinamo Zagreb – teams not from Europe's top five leagues. In their last 11 away Champions League matches, Borussia has only won by more than one goal three times, and in 4 of their last 5 away matches against Italian clubs in this European competition, the German team has lost.
I believe Vincenzo Italiano's side will put up a strong fight against Dortmund. My prediction: Bologna with a handicap (+1)