The Matchday 5 clash in the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Bologna (Italy) and Lille (France) will take place on November 27 at the Renato Dall'Ara Stadium. Bologna vs. Lille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 20 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 73;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 40%.
Predicted lineups for Bologna vs. Lille
Bologna (4-3-3): Federico Ravaglia – Lorenzo De Silvestri, Sam Beukema, John Lucumi, Juan Miranda – Remo Freuler, Nikola Moro, Jens Odgaard – Riccardo Orsolini, Santiago Castro, Samuel Iling-Junior.
Lille (4-5-1): Lucas Chevalier – Thomas Meunier, Bafode Diakite, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Benjamin Andre, Remy Cabella, Edon Zhegrova, Angel Gomes, Usame Sahraoui – Jonathan David.
Bologna
Vincenzo Italiano's side suffered a 0-1 home defeat to French side Monaco in the last round. This defeat marked the team's third consecutive loss in the Champions League. In the standings, the Italians have only one point and sit in 31st position. Notably, Bologna is the only club in the group stage yet to score a goal.
Goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski, midfielder Michel Aebischer, and forward Dan Ndoye will miss the match due to injuries.
- No more than two goals have been scored in Bologna's last four Champions League matches.
- The club has not lost in their last nine home matches in Serie A (2 wins, 7 draws).
- Bologna has scored at most once in 7 of their last 8 home matches in the Italian championship.
Lille
In the last round, Bruno Genesio's side drew 1-1 with Italian side Juventus at home. As a result, Lille is unbeaten in their last three Champions League matches (2 wins, 1 draw). With seven points, the team is in 14th place in the standings. Notably, with five goals scored, the French side is ahead of only two clubs in the playoff zone in this metric.
Defenders Tiago Santos and Samuel Umtiti, midfielders Andre Gomes, Ethan Mbappe, and Nabil Bentaleb will miss the match due to injuries.
- The club has not won in regular time in 9 of their last 12 away matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 8 losses).
- The team has conceded exactly one or two goals in 90 minutes in their last nine away Champions League matches.
- The number "1" has appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 8 of Lille's last 10 away matches in this European competition.
Bologna vs. Lille: Match Prediction
Bologna's performance in this season's Champions League is hardly satisfactory. The attack is particularly struggling, as noted earlier, with the Italians being the only team yet to score in the group stage. Moreover, they haven't faced top-level opponents, except for Liverpool. In the Italian championship, the club also lacks scoring prowess at home, netting at most one goal in their last five home matches.
Lille also lacks attacking power, especially in away games. In their last 12 away Champions League matches, the team has only managed to score more than once on three occasions. Furthermore, in the current group stage of this tournament, the French side has scored at most one goal in 3 of their 4 matches.
I don't expect many goals in the encounter between these teams. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
