The 4th round match of the Champions League 2024/25 group stage between Bologna (Italy) and Monaco (France) will take place on November 5 at the Renato Dall'Ara Stadium. Bologna – Monaco: prediction and betting, odds, statistics.
Referee: Aliyar Aghayev (Azerbaijan)
Matches – 11 (International meetings, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 46;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls on average per match – 24;
Penalties – 36%.
Probable Lineups for Bologna – Monaco
Bologna (4-3-3): Lukasz Skorupski – Lorenzo De Silvestri, Sam Beukema, Jhon Lucumi, Juan Miranda – Remo Freuler, Nikola Moro, Jens Odgaard – Riccardo Orsolini, Santiago Castro, Dan Ndoye.
Monaco (4-2-3-1): Philippe Koen – Vanderson, Tilo Kehrer, Wilfried Singo, Caio Henrique – Soungoutou Magassa, Lamin Kamara – Magnes Akliu, Takumi Minamino, Aleksandr Golovin – Breel Embolo.
Bologna
Vincenzo Italiano's men lost away to Aston Villa with a score of 0:2 in the previous round. As a result, Bologna suffered their second consecutive defeat in the Champions League and with just one point, they are placed 29th in the tournament table. Moreover, the Italians are among only four teams that have yet to score in the current group stage of the UCL.
Defender Martin Erlic will miss the game due to injury.
- The team has not lost in their last nine home games in Serie A (2 wins, 7 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in the club's last five home matches in the Italian championship.
- Bologna has conceded a maximum of one goal in 12 of their last 13 home matches in Serie A.
Monaco
In the last round, Adi Hütter's charges thrashed Serbian Red Star on their home ground with a score of 5:1. As a result, Monaco extended their unbeaten streak in regular time in the Champions League to six matches (2 wins, 4 draws). Furthermore, the team secured their biggest victory in this European competition since 2015. With seven points, the French side is among the leaders of the group stage – they are fourth in the tournament table.
Defender Mohammed Salisu, midfielder Denis Zakaria, and forward Folarin Balogun will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club has not won in regular time in 10 out of their last 11 away UCL matches (6 draws, 4 losses).
- The team has conceded at least two goals in 6 out of their last 8 away matches in this European cup.
- The number '2' has appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in the last five away matches of the French side in the Champions League.
Bologna – Monaco: Match Prediction
At home, Bologna feels confident and often achieves positive results: in their last 23 home games in the Italian championship, the team has lost only once (13 wins, 9 draws). That defeat came in a match against Inter last season, who subsequently became the national champions. Moreover, Bologna did not lose at home to Shakhtar in the first round of the current group stage of the UCL (0:0).
Monaco rarely achieves victories in away Champions League matches: the team has won in regular time only once in their last 11 away games in this European cup. And in the confrontation with Dinamo Zagreb in the second round of the current group stage, the French barely avoided defeat, equalizing two goals only in the closing moments of the match.
I believe the Italians will be able to resist Monaco and earn points in this confrontation. My prediction: "Bologna win or draw" with odds of
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