The Coppa Italia Round of 16 match between Bologna and Parma will take place on December 4 at the Renato Dall'Ara Stadium. Bologna vs. Parma: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bologna
Vincenzo Italiano's side is just starting their journey in this season's Coppa Italia. Last season, Bologna triumphantly concluded their campaign in this tournament by defeating Milan 1-0 in the final, claiming the trophy for only the second time in their history. Notably, in the national cup, the team has not lost in regular time for nine matches (7 wins, 2 draws). Additionally, during this stretch, the club conceded only one goal.
- The team has won their last six home matches in the national cup.
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 13 of the last 16 home matches in this tournament.
- Bologna has scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 home matches in the Coppa Italia.
Predicted lineup for Bologna (4-5-1)
Federico Ravaglia – Juan Miranda, John Lucumi, Nicolo Casale, Nadir Zortea – Benja Dominguez, Nikola Moro, Jens Odgaard, Tommaso Pobega, Riccardo Orsolini – Santiago Castro.
Main goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski, defender Martin Vitik, and midfielder Remo Freuler will not play due to injuries.
Parma
Carlos Cuesta's side has progressed through two rounds, defeating Pescara (2-0) and Spezia (2-2, 5-4 on penalties) in succession. As a result, Parma has reached the Coppa Italia Round of 16 for the fifth time in the last nine seasons, although the club has never advanced further during this period. Notably, the team has not lost in regular time in 8 of their last 9 matches in the national cup (5 wins, 3 draws).
- The club has not lost in 90 minutes in their last five away matches in the Coppa Italia (3 wins, 2 draws).
- The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in regular time in 7 of their last 9 away matches in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in 90 minutes in 7 of Parma's last 9 away matches in the national cup.
Predicted lineup for Parma (3-5-2)
Edoardo Corvi – Emanuele Valeri, Lautaro Valenti, Enrico Del Prato – Sacha Britsghi, Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Oliver Sorensen, Mariano Troilo – Matteo Pellegrino, Patrick Cutrone.
Main goalkeeper Zion Suzuki, defenders Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Alessandro Circati, as well as forward Matija Frigan, will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Paride Tremolada (Italy)
Matches – 9 (Serie A and Coppa Italia, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 33%.
Bologna vs. Parma: Match Prediction
At home, Bologna is a very tough opponent and often achieves positive results: in the Coppa Italia, the team has secured seven wins in their last nine matches (1 draw, 1 loss). The club tends to play actively and prefers to spend as much time as possible in attack, having scored at least two goals in seven of these matches.
Parma is also expected to perform effectively up front: the team regularly scores even away from home. In their last nine away matches in the national cup, the club's players have never left the field without scoring, and in five matches during this period, they broke through the opponents' defense at least twice. However, Parma rarely excels defensively, conceding in 7 of their last 9 away matches in this tournament, and in six cases, they conceded at least two goals.
I anticipate a high-scoring game from both teams, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
