The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League playoff between Borussia Dortmund (Germany) and Sporting (Portugal) will take place on February 19 at Signal Iduna Park. The score of the first match is 3-0 in favor of Borussia Dortmund. Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
The German club, having defeated Sporting 3-0 in the first match, has made a strong case for advancing to the Round of 16. Notably, Dortmund's attacking leader Serhou Guirassy has been involved in scoring actions in ten consecutive Champions League matches. Borussia itself has secured its sixth win in the current tournament, scoring at least three goals in five of these encounters.
- Dortmund has opened the scoring in 8 of their last 9 Champions League games.
- At home, Borussia has won 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches.
- In 13 of their last 15 home games in this tournament, the team has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Daniel Svensson, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Julian Ryerson – Karim Adeyemi, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Felix Nmecha is injured.
Sporting
After the first playoff match, the team extended their winless streak in the Champions League to five matches (1 draw, 4 losses). For the first time in this period, the Portuguese side failed to score. To advance to the Round of 16, Sporting needs to win in regular time by at least four goals. If Lisbon wins by exactly three goals, extra time will be played. Notably, in the current Champions League campaign, the team has already achieved such a margin, defeating Manchester City 4-1.
- At least three goals have been scored in 5 of Sporting's last 6 Champions League matches.
- On the road in this tournament, the club has not won in 7 of their last 9 matches (3 draws, 4 losses).
- Both teams have scored in 5 of Sporting's last 6 away games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Sporting (4-5-1)
Rui Silva – Maximiliano Araujo, Ivan Fresneda, Ousmane Diomande, Goncalo Inacio – Ricardo Esgaio, Alexandre Brito, Joao Simoes, Matheus Reis, Konrad Harder – Biael.
Midfielders Geny Catamo, Daniel Braganca, Hidemasa Morita, and Pedro Goncalves, defender Jerry St. Juste, as well as forwards Viktor Gyokeres, Nuno Santos, and Francisco Trincao are injured.
Referee
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 18;
Penalties – 11%.
Match Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting
Lisbon needs to perform a miracle and decisively defeat Dortmund away. However, Sporting has shown weak results on the road in the Champions League, and Signal Iduna Park is nearly impregnable for Borussia's opponents.
At home, the Germans have not lost in 14 of their last 15 Champions League matches (10 wins, 4 draws). Notably, Borussia's home games in the current tournament have been high-scoring: a total of 18 goals scored in 4 matches. Additionally, Dortmund has scored at least three times in 4 of their last 5 Champions League games.
Sporting, on the other hand, is on a five-match winless streak in the Champions League, during which they have conceded fewer than two goals only once. On the road, the Portuguese have won just one of their last six matches in the main European tournament (2 draws, 3 losses), yet they have scored in all of these encounters.
My prediction: Borussia Dortmund will not lose and Total Over 2.5
