The Bundesliga matchday 18 clash between Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli will take place on 17 January at the Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
In the previous round, Niko Kovac’s side thrashed Werder Bremen 3:0 at home. As a result, the team’s unbeaten run in the league has reached 10 matches (6 wins, 4 draws), while the Dortmund club have scored in 25 straight games in this competition. At the same time, Borussia Dortmund have lacked reliability at the back of late: they have kept a clean sheet in only two of their last eight Bundesliga fixtures. Nevertheless, the club lead the way for the number of clean sheets – nine. In the overall standings, the team sit second.
- A goal was scored in both halves in Borussia Dortmund’s previous seven league matches.
- At home in this competition, Borussia Dortmund have won 10 of their last 12 matches (2 draws).
- In four of the previous five home Bundesliga games, the team did not concede a single goal.
Potential Borussia Dortmund Lineup (3-4-3)*
Gregor Kobel – Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck – Carney Chukwuemeka, Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Ryerson – Yan Couto, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier, Fabio Silva.
Defender Aaron Anselmino is injured.
St. Pauli
In the previous round, Alexander Blessin’s side lost away to Wolfsburg (1:2). That defeat was the team’s first in their last four league matches (1 win, 2 draws), meaning the Hamburg club failed to set a new record for their longest unbeaten run in the current campaign. It is also worth adding that St. Pauli have scored in four of their last five Bundesliga games. In the standings, the club are 17th, three points behind the safe 15th spot.
- The team conceded first in 11 of their previous 14 Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, the Hamburg club have gone eight league games without a win (2 draws, 6 defeats).
- In four of their previous five away matches in this competition, St. Pauli scored exactly one goal.
Potential St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj – Adam Dzwigala, Karol Mets, Hauke Wahl – Arkadiusz Pyrka, Eric Smith, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Lars Ritzka – Mathias Pereira Lage, Ricky-Jade Jones.
Defender David Nemeth and midfielder Jackson Irvine are injured.
Referee
Harm Osmers (Germany)
Matches – 7 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 19;
Penalties – 57%.
Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: Match Prediction
Borussia Dortmund have posted excellent results at home, winning nine of their last 11 Bundesliga matches (2 draws). In the current league campaign, Niko Kovac’s men have only dropped points on home soil against Stuttgart and Leipzig, both of whom are in the Champions League places. The team have also pleased their fans with prolific football, scoring at least two goals in six of their previous seven matches in this competition.
It will be difficult for the Hamburg club to contain such an attack. The team also struggle against far less threatening opponents. In their last 14 Bundesliga games, Alexander Blessin’s side have managed to keep only Mainz – who are battling for survival – scoreless. With numbers like these, the club find it hard to pick up points, especially away from home. Their only away win in the current campaign came on matchday one, but even that is conditional: their opponents in that game were local rivals Hamburg. In the other eight matches, St. Pauli have suffered six defeats.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is the lineup from their previous match in this competition.
