The Matchday 16 Premier League fixture between Brentford and Leeds will take place on December 14 at the Brentford Community Stadium in London. Brentford – Leeds: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brentford
The side lost 0-2 in each of their last two rounds, against Arsenal and Tottenham respectively. Brentford's run of games with goals conceded has reached seven matches, and in five of those matches the team conceded at least two goals. With 19 points (6 wins, 1 draw), they sit 14th in the table, six points clear of the relegation zone. It is also worth noting that Brentford have an 11-match competitive run in the Premier League this season (5 wins, 6 defeats).
- The club have opened the scoring at home in five of their last seven league matches.
- They are unbeaten at home in six of their last seven Premier League games (5 wins, 1 draw).
- In five of their last six home league matches the club scored at least two goals.
Probable Brentford line-up (3-4-3)
Kuivin Kelleher – Kristoffer Ajer, Sepp van den Berg, Michael Kayode – Yegor Yarmolyuk, Mathias Jensen, Jordan Henderson, Mikkel Damsgaard – Dango Ouattara, Kevin Schade, Igor Thiago.
Midfielder Joshua Dasilva will miss the game through injury. Midfielders Fabio Carvalho and Antony Malambo are out for the remainder of the season. Forward Kevin Schade is suspended.
Leeds
After a run of four league defeats, the team picked up points in two successive rounds against strong opposition. Daniel Farke's side drew 3-3 with Liverpool and then beat Chelsea 3-1. Leeds have scored in five successive Premier League matches but have been even more porous at the back — they have conceded in 12 straight games. The club have shipped 29 goals, a worse record only than Burnley (30) and Wolverhampton (33). In the table Leeds sit 16th, two points above the relegation zone.
- At least one goal was scored in both halves in 10 of the team's last 11 Premier League matches.
- The club have lost six of their last seven away league matches (1 win).
- In 11 of their last 13 away Premier League games Leeds conceded at least two goals.
Probable Leeds line-up (3-5-2)
Lucas Perri – Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk – Ilia Gruev, Jayden Bogle, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Forwards Lucas Nmecha, Daniel James and midfielder Sean Longstaff are injured.
Referee
John Brooks (England)
Matches – 21 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 99;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 29%.
Match Prediction: Brentford vs Leeds
Matches involving Daniel Farke's side are among the highest-scoring in the current campaign, averaging 3.2 goals. Much of that figure stems from Leeds' defensive problems. The team have kept only two clean sheets all season, the last coming in the third round. Since November the defence has been particularly vulnerable: Leeds conceded at least twice in five of six matches, shipping 15 goals in that period. At the same time, the club have scored in five straight Premier League games.
Brentford are very productive at home. Keith Andrews' team scored exactly three goals in four of their last five home league matches. By expected goals (xG) in home fixtures the club are in the league's top three. However, like their opponents, they have defensive issues — the run of games with goals conceded has reached seven, and in five of those matches Brentford conceded at least twice.
Considering these facts, my prediction: Total over 2.5
* For each team the starting line-up shown corresponds to their previous match in this competition.
