The Matchday 22 Ligue 1 encounter between Brest and Auxerre will take place on February 14 at Stade Francis-Le Blé. Brest vs. Auxerre: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brest
In the previous round, the team secured a 2-0 away victory over Nantes, marking their fourth win in the last five Ligue 1 matches (1 loss). Even in the defeat during this stretch, Eric Roy's side managed to find the back of the net. Thus, Brest has equaled their longest scoring streak in the current championship, now standing at five games. In the league table, the club remains in 8th place, but they have closed the gap to the European competition zone to just 2 points.
- The team has scored at least two goals in 5 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches.
- Brest has not lost in 7 of their last 9 home matches in the league (6 wins, 1 draw).
- The club has conceded goals in their last 6 home games in this tournament.
Expected lineup for Brest (4-3-3)
Marco Bizot – Massadio Haidara, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Brendan Chardonnet, Kenny Lala – Hugo Magnetti, Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara – Ludovic Ajorque, Romain Faivre, Abdallah Sima.
Defenders Jordan Amavi, Bradley Locko, and midfielder Jonas Martin are injured.
Auxerre
Christophe Pélissier's side shared the points at home with Toulouse (2-2) in the last round, extending their winless streak in the league to nine matches (5 draws, 4 losses). Notably, in six of these games, the team conceded at least two goals. In the overall standings, the club occupies 11th place, but among the lower half of the table, no team has scored more than Auxerre (29 goals).
- Both opponents scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 7 Ligue 1 matches.
- Auxerre has lost their last 4 away matches in the league.
- In 5 of their last 7 away games in this tournament, the club conceded first.
Expected lineup for Auxerre (3-4-3)
Donovan Léon – Jubal, Sinaly Diomandé, Gabriel Osho – Gideon Mensah, An-Noah Massengo, Elisha Owusu, Ki-Jana Hoever – Amad Traoré, Gaëtan Perrin, Florian Ayé.
Defender Paul Joly is suspended. Defender Sinaly Diomandé is unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Bastien Dechepy (France)
Matches – 9 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 37;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 56%.
Match Prediction: Brest vs. Auxerre
Eric Roy's side performs well at home. In this championship, Brest has not lost in 7 of 10 matches (6 wins, 1 draw), with defeats coming against the current top three teams in the tournament. Therefore, the hosts are rightly favored in the upcoming game against Auxerre, who have not won in Ligue 1 since the end of November and have lost 8 of their last 10 away league matches (1 win, 1 draw).
Christophe Pélissier's side often struggles due to weak defensive performances. Auxerre has conceded 36 goals, with only four teams faring worse. Additionally, in Ligue 1 away games, the club has failed to keep a clean sheet for 13 matches, conceding at least two goals in 10 of these encounters. Brest, the third-highest scoring team in home matches, will take advantage of their opponent's difficulties.
My prediction: Brest will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals
