The quarter-final match of the French Cup between Brest and Dunkerque will take place on February 26 at the Stade Francis-Le Blé. Brest vs. Dunkerque: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brest
Eric Roy's side has navigated through three stages in this tournament, defeating La Roche (1-0), Nantes, and Troyes, both with a 2-1 scoreline. Brest has won 5 of their last 6 matches in the national cup, with their only defeat in this span coming against PSG. However, they managed to score against the Parisians, extending their scoring streak in the French Cup to eight matches. The last time Brest reached the quarter-finals was in the 2014/15 season, where they lost to Auxerre in a penalty shootout.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Brest's last 7 matches in the national cup.
- The team has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 9 home matches in this tournament (5 wins, 2 draws).
- In 7 of their last 9 home games in the French Cup, Brest has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-4-2)
Gregoire Coudert – Luc Zohore, Julien Le Cardinal, Soumaïla Coulibaly, Edimilson Fernandes – Justin Bourgeaux, Hugo Magnetti, Ibrahim Salah, Romain Faivre – Mama Baldé, Kamory Doumbia.
Injured players include defender Soumaïla Coulibaly and midfielders Justin Bourgeaux and Romain Del Castillo.
Dunkerque
The path to the quarter-finals for Luís Castro's team was two matches longer, but this did not deter them from reaching this stage for the fourth time in their history. However, Dunkerque has never advanced past this round. In their last French Cup match, the club overcame Lille only in a penalty shootout (1-1, 5-4 on penalties), ending a streak of three consecutive wins in regular time in this tournament.
- No more than two goals were scored in 4 of Dunkerque's last 5 matches in the national cup.
- The team has not lost in regular time in their last 5 away matches in the French Cup (3 wins, 2 draws).
- In 10 of their last 11 away games in this tournament, the club has found the back of the net.
Predicted lineup for Dunkerque (4-4-2)
Yoann Jaouen – Alec Georgen, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Opa Sanganté, Felipe Abner – Anto Secongo, Malik Diop, Muhanad Al-Saad, Marco Essimi – Yassine Bammou, Naatan Skyttä.
Referee
Willy Delajod (France)
Matches – 6 (French Cup, 2022/23–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 17;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 17%.
Match Prediction for Brest vs. Dunkerque
Luís Castro's side has played all five matches in this edition of the national cup away from home. The team has achieved good results thanks to solid defensive play and capitalizing on scoring opportunities. Dunkerque has scored in four consecutive matches in the national cup, and away from home in this tournament, they have scored in 10 of their last 11 matches. It is worth noting that in their previous match, the team scored against Lille, which boasts the second-most reliable defense in Ligue 1.
Brest occupies a mid-table position in the elite French division, but Eric Roy's side has conceded 38 goals, a figure bettered by only four clubs. Brest regularly concedes in the French Cup, having allowed goals in 5 of their last 7 matches. Additionally, in their last 8 official home matches, the team has not kept a clean sheet.
My prediction: Dunkerque Individual Total Over 0.5
