The Matchday 4 clash in Ligue 1 between Brest and Paris will take place on September 14 at the Stade Francis-Le Blé. Brest vs. Paris: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brest
In the first round of the championship, the team showed character and snatched a draw in a battle with Lille (3-3), but this was followed by away defeats to Toulouse (0-2) and Lens (1-3). After three matches in the current Ligue 1 season, the club has earned 1 point and is in 17th place. The start of the championship has clearly not gone as planned, as Brest recently finished in the top three and played in the Champions League playoffs.
- Brest has conceded at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 league games.
- At least 2 goals have been scored in 10 of the team's last 11 Ligue 1 matches.
- The club conceded in the second half in 9 of their last 11 matches in this tournament.
- Brest has not won in 7 of their last 9 French league games (2 draws, 5 losses).
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-3-3)
Radoslaw Majecki – Bradley Locko, Julien Le Cardinal, Junior Diaz, Kenny Lala – Hugo Magnetti, Joris Chotard, Kamory Doumbia – Ludovic Ajorque, Mama Baldé, Romain Del Castillo.
Main goalkeeper Radoslaw Majecki is suspended for 2 league matches, and midfielder Hugo Magnetti is suspended for 1 game. Head coach Eric Roy will not be able to lead the team from the sidelines for the same reason. Midfielder Lucas Tousart is not ready to debut for Brest due to an injury.
Paris
After a long absence from Ligue 1, the club needed time to adapt to the new level of competition. In the first two rounds of the championship, the team narrowly lost to Angers and suffered a heavy defeat to Marseille (2-5). However, Paris soon not only earned points but also secured a victory over Metz (3-2). Nevertheless, their position in the table is still concerning: the club is in the relegation playoff zone. Interestingly, Paris, like Brest, is among the three most unreliable teams in Ligue 1. Both opponents have conceded a total of 8 goals – the same as Lorient.
- Paris has scored in 9 of their last 10 matches in Ligue 1 and Ligue 2.
- At least 2 goals have been scored in 11 of the team's last 13 games in the top two French divisions.
- Paris has not lost in 8 of their last 10 matches in Ligue 1 and Ligue 2 (6 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has won with a (+1.5) handicap in 9 of their last 10 matches in the top two French divisions.
Predicted lineup for Paris (4-3-3)
Kevin Trapp – Samir Chergui, Moustapha Mbow, Otavio, Thibault De Smet – Vincent Marchetti, Maxime Lopez, Adama Camara – Ilan Kebbal, Willem Geubbels, Moses Simon.
The club has added defender Amari Traore and midfielder Jonathan Ikone.
Referee
Bastien Dechepy (France)
Matches – 14 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 60;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 50%.
Brest vs. Paris: Match Prediction
Brest is one of two clubs that has not won a match in the current Ligue 1 season. However, this is largely due to the schedule: 2 of 3 matches were away, and Eric Roy's team usually looks significantly more confident in front of their home fans. The team has not lost with a (0) handicap in 10 of their last 12 home league matches (7 wins, 3 returns), scoring in 11 of them, and netting at least 2 goals in 9 games.
Paris can also be considered a home team. After their long-awaited return to Ligue 1, the club lost both away games, conceding a total of 6 goals. They often faced difficulties playing away even in the second tier of French football: last season, Paris earned only 41% of their total points in away matches in Ligue 2 (28 out of 69). Before facing Brest, Stéphane Gilli's side had not won in 8 of their last 11 away games in Ligue 1 and Ligue 2 (2 draws, 6 losses).
Brest needs to forget past failures and return to winning ways, as fans are accustomed to better results at home. However, for betting purposes, it's safer to back Brest with a (0) handicap.
* For each team, the starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
