The first playoff match of the 2024/25 Champions League between Brest (France) and PSG (France) will take place on February 11 at the Stade du Roudourou in Guingamp. Brest vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brest
The club's debut season in the Champions League can already be considered a success. The team managed to qualify for the tournament's playoffs, securing four wins, one draw, and three losses in the group stage. However, it should be noted that the French side defeated only one opponent who advanced to the playoffs (PSV). Additionally, Eric Roy's men lost their last two group stage matches, falling to Shakhtar (0-2) and then to Real Madrid (0-3).
Midfielder Jonas Martin and defender Bradley Locko are in the club's medical room.
- At least one team failed to score in the team's last four matches in this tournament.
- No more than three goals were scored in Brest's last six Champions League matches.
- The club did not win the second half in the last six games of this European competition (4 draws and 2 losses).
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-3-3)
Marco Bizot – Soumaila Coulibaly, Massadio Haidara, Brendan Chardonnet, Kenny Lala – Hugo Magnetti, Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara – Abdallah Sima, Romain Faivre, Ludovic Ajorque.
PSG
The Parisians secured their spot in the top 24 only at the end of the group stage. Luis Enrique's men thrashed Salzburg (3-0) and Stuttgart (4-1) away and claimed a comeback victory over Manchester City (4-2) at home in their last three matches. It's worth mentioning that PSG has consistently reached the playoffs in the Champions League for 13 consecutive seasons. Last season, they advanced to the semifinals, where they lost to Borussia Dortmund (0-1, 0-1).
Midfielder Warren Zaire-Emery will miss the match due to injury.
- No more than three goals were scored in 8 of PSG's last 10 matches in this European competition.
- The number "1" appeared in the final scoreline in 8 of PSG's last 11 Champions League matches.
- The club conceded in 22 of their last 23 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Lee Kang-In – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Referee
Irfan Peljto (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 60%.
Match Prediction: Brest vs. PSG
The Parisians were fortunate with the draw, as they often face challenges against strong opponents in the playoffs, especially away from home. In the playoff matches, they will face their compatriots, against whom PSG has an excellent head-to-head record. Since the 2010/11 season, when Brest started occasionally appearing in Ligue 1, the teams have met 20 times in the league and the French Cup, with PSG never losing to this opponent (18 wins and 2 draws).
Notably, Brest has lost all nine previous official home encounters against the Parisians. In six of these matches, PSG won by a margin of two or more goals. Additionally, the capital club has scored at least two goals in 16 of the last 17 head-to-head encounters in Ligue 1 and the French Cup.
I have no doubt that PSG will prevail in the first playoff match, scoring at least two goals. The team is in good form, having not suffered a single defeat in the league, where they are confidently leading, while Brest is mid-table and may miss out on European competition next season.
My prediction – PSG individual total over 2
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