Matchday 6 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Brest (France) and PSV (Netherlands) will take place on December 10 at the Stade du Roudourou in Guingamp. Brest vs. PSV: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 61;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Brest vs. PSV
Brest (4-5-1): Marco Bizot – Massadio Haidara, Julien Le Cardinal, Brendan Chardonnet, Edimilson Fernandes – Mahdi Camara, Hugo Magnetti, Mama Baldé, Kamory Doumbia, Mathias Pereira Lage – Ludovic Ajorque.
PSV (4-3-3): Walter Benitez – Matteo Dams, Ryan Flamingo, Olivier Boscagli, Mauro Junior – Guus Til, Malik Tillman, Ismael Saibari – Johan Bakayoko, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Brest
The French team faced Barcelona away in the last round and as expected, they were defeated 0-3. This was the team's first loss in the Champions League. Before that, Eric Roy's side secured three wins and one draw. After the defeat, Brest dropped out of the top eight, falling to 11th place.
Forward Ludovic Ajorque will miss the match due to accumulated yellow cards. In the club's infirmary are midfielders Pierre Lees-Melou, Romain Faivre, Jonas Martin, as well as defenders Bradley Locko and Soumaïla Coulibaly.
- In the last five matches in the Champions League and Ligue 1, the French team suffered four defeats, winning only once.
- At least three goals have been scored in Brest's last six matches in the Champions League and Ligue 1.
- At home in the league and European competitions, the club has not lost in 7 of their last 8 matches (5 wins and 2 draws).
PSV
The Dutch team lost only in the first round of the group stage of the Champions League to Juventus away with a score of 1-3. Since then, the team has not suffered any defeats and, with 8 points, climbed to 18th place. The rise in the standings was gradual: first, there were draws with Sporting and PSG (both 1-1), then the club secured home victories over Girona (4-0) and Shakhtar (3-2). Additionally, in the last 12 matches in this tournament, PSV has suffered only two defeats (4 wins and 6 draws).
Due to injuries, forward Fode Fofana and defender Sergiño Dest are out.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the last 9 matches of the Dutch team in the Champions League.
- In PSV's last nine matches in this European competition, fewer than two goals were not scored.
- One of the teams kept a clean sheet in the first half in the last 10 matches of the club in the Champions League.
Brest vs. PSV: Match Prediction
In the upcoming match, I give a slight preference to the visitors. Although the French team is higher in the standings and has two more points, I believe they will gradually drop lower. The team had a favorable schedule in the first four rounds, and as soon as they faced a serious opponent like Barcelona, Brest crumbled. Additionally, the club has started experiencing problems in their domestic league, where they are already in the lower half of the table.
PSV, on the other hand, has significant European competition experience. The club has lost only three times in the last 17 Champions League matches, and those were against strong opponents like Juventus, Borussia Dortmund, and Arsenal. The team also boasts excellent performances in the Eredivisie, winning 15 of their last 16 matches. It's important to note PSV's scoring prowess – the club has scored at least twice in their last 16 domestic league games and has found the net at least once in 11 of their last 12 Champions League matches.
My prediction – PSV with a handicap (0)
