The Matchday 25 Premier League clash between Brighton and Chelsea will take place on February 14 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton vs. Chelsea: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Brighton
In the previous round, the team suffered their heaviest league defeat since the 1958/59 season. Playing away, the club lost 0-7 to Nottingham Forest. Before that, Fabian Hürzeler's side also lost at home to Everton (0-1). Brighton remains mid-table but is now seven points adrift of the European competition spots.
Defenders Ferdi Kadioglu and Pervis Estupinan, goalkeeper Jason Steele, midfielders Solly March, James Milner, and Mats Wieffer will miss the game due to injuries.
- The club has won only two of their last 12 Premier League matches (6 draws and 4 losses).
- Both teams scored in 12 of Brighton's last 16 Premier League games.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 5 of the club's last 6 home league matches.
Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Tariq Lamptey, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Joël Veltman – Jack Hinshelwood, Jorginho Rutter – Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma, Joao Pedro – Danny Welbeck.
Chelsea
The Londoners secured a comeback victory in the derby against West Ham (2-1) in the last round. It was the team's second consecutive home win in the league (previously defeated Wolverhampton 3-1). However, between these victories, Enzo Maresca's side lost away to Manchester City (1-3). The club has returned to the top four, but the gap to City is just two points.
Forwards Nicolas Jackson and Mark Guiyu, midfielders Omari Kellyman and Romeo Lavia, as well as defenders Wesley Fofana and Benoit Badiashile, are sidelined due to injuries. Forward Mykhailo Mudryk continues to serve a suspension for a failed doping test.
- Both teams scored in Chelsea's last five Premier League matches.
- At least three goals were scored in 10 of the Londoners' last 13 league games.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 13 of the club's last 18 Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Filip Jorgensen – Levi Colwill, Reece James, Marc Cucurella, Tosin Adarabioyo – Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo – Jadon Sancho, Cole Palmer, Noni Madueke – Nicolas Jackson.
Referee
Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches – 8 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 0%.
Brighton vs. Chelsea: Match Prediction
Chelsea won the first round match 4-2. The London club also won both encounters in the previous Premier League season – 3-2 and 2-1. It seems the upcoming clash will also yield three points for the visitors and be high-scoring. I doubt Brighton will quickly recover from the heavy defeat to Nottingham, which exposed all the club's defensive issues.
Additionally, Fabian Hürzeler's side has failed to win at home in their last five Premier League matches (3 draws and 2 losses), with only one of these games against a strong opponent. Chelsea, on the other hand, has lost only three of their last 15 away league matches (8 wins and 4 draws). Therefore, I suggest predicting that the visitors will not lose, and there will be at least two goals. This bet has been successful in 6 of the last 7 encounters at the Amex in the Premier League.
My prediction: "Double chance X2 and Total over 1.5 goals"
