The FA Cup quarter-final match between Brighton and Nottingham Forest will take place on March 29 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton vs. Nottingham Forest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brighton
Fabian Hurzeler's side had an easy start to the new FA Cup campaign, thrashing Norwich 4-0 away. However, they then faced Premier League representatives who are higher in the league table. First, the club defeated Chelsea at home (2-1) and then overcame Newcastle, beating the League Cup winners on their turf (1-1, extra time 1-0). Notably, for the third time in six years, the team has reached this stage of the tournament, having previously made it to the semi-finals twice, only to be defeated by Manchester clubs.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 10 of their last 11 FA Cup matches (8 wins and 2 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Brighton's last 9 home matches in this tournament.
- The team has scored at least two goals in regular time in 9 of their last 11 home games in the FA Cup.
Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Tariq Lamptey, Jan Paul van Hecke, Adam Webster, Pervis Estupinan – Carlos Baleba, Jack Hinshelwood – Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma, Jorginho Rutter – Joao Pedro.
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham struggled to reach this round of the tournament, facing weaker opponents. Nuno Espirito Santo's side first defeated Luton Town (2-0), and then only managed to overcome Exeter City and Ipswich thanks to more successful penalty shootouts. Interestingly, this is only the second time this century that the club has reached the FA Cup quarter-finals; the previous time was in the 2021/22 season, when they lost to Liverpool 0-1 at this stage.
- Nottingham Forest has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 8 matches in this tournament (1 win and 6 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of the club's last 6 FA Cup games.
- Nottingham has conceded at least two goals in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Nottingham Forest (4-2-3-1)
Matz Sels – Ola Aina, Murillo, Morato, Alex Moreno – Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira, Ryan Yates – Anthony Elanga, Ibrahim Sangare, Callum Hudson-Odoi – Taiwo Awoniyi.
Forward Chris Wood will miss the game due to injury.
Referee
Peter Bankes (England)
Matches – 21 (Premier League, FA Cup, and English League Cup, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 81;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 14%.
Brighton vs. Nottingham Forest: Match Prediction
In early February, Nottingham inflicted a painful defeat on Brighton in the league, thrashing their opponents 7-0. The first-round game in September was also high-scoring, ending in a draw at the Amex (2-2). Moreover, at least four goals have been scored in 4 of the last 5 Premier League meetings between these teams.
Additionally, FA Cup matches between these teams have been notable for their scoring. Brighton has scored at least two goals in regular time in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest has not won in regular time in 11 consecutive away FA Cup matches and has conceded at least two goals in 8 of their last 9 away games in this tournament.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
