The Matchday 6 clash in the Nations League between Bulgaria and Belarus in Group 3 of League C will take place on November 17 at the Vasil Levski Stadium in Sofia. Bulgaria vs. Belarus: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Allard Lindhout (Netherlands)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 11%.
Predicted lineups for Bulgaria vs. Belarus
Bulgaria (4-4-2): Dimitar Mitov – Fabian Nurnberger, Simeon Petrov, Alex Petkov, Viktor Popov – Filip Krastev, Andrian Kraev, Vasil Panayotov, Kiril Despodov – Georgi Milanov, Aleksandar Kolev.
Belarus (3-4-3): Fyodor Lapoukhov – Aleksandr Martynovich, Sergey Politevich, Pavel Zabelin – Vadim Pigas, Yevgeny Yablonsky, Aleksandr Selyava, Kirill Pechenin – German Barkovsky, Valery Gromyko, Yevgeny Shikavka.
Each team's lineup is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Bulgaria
The Bulgarians ended a two-match winless streak in the Nations League (1 draw, 1 loss) by defeating Luxembourg 1-0 in the last round. This victory also ended their goal drought in the tournament, which lasted for the same two matches. More importantly, the win over Luxembourg lifted Bulgaria to the second spot in the group, keeping their chances of finishing first alive. To achieve this, they need to win the upcoming match and hope for Northern Ireland's defeat in the parallel game. Notably, Bulgaria has earned 8 points in the current Nations League campaign, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 5.
Forward Kiril Despodov will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- At least one opponent failed to score in Bulgaria's last 6 Nations League matches.
- The team has not scored more than one goal in their last 6 matches in this tournament.
- At home, the national team has not won in 7 of their last 9 Nations League matches (4 draws, 3 losses).
Belarus
Belarus suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Northern Ireland in their previous Nations League encounter. This was the first time they conceded more than one goal in the current tournament. The loss ended their five-match unbeaten run in the Nations League (1 win, 4 draws). Additionally, Belarus fell behind their upcoming opponent in the group standings, dropping to third place. While they are out of the running for the group win, a victory in this game could see them overtake Bulgaria and compete for promotion to League B through playoff matches.
Defender Kirill Pechenin will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
- No more than 2 goals have been scored in Belarus's last 6 Nations League matches.
- The team has won with a handicap (+1.5) in 14 of their last 16 Nations League matches.
- Belarus has conceded at least twice in 5 of their last 7 away matches in this tournament.
Bulgaria vs. Belarus: Match Prediction
The upcoming match is crucial for both teams. Bulgaria and Belarus still have a chance to advance to League B. However, the hosts are aiming for direct promotion by winning the group, while Belarus can only hope for second place and a playoff spot for a chance to move up to Division B. Therefore, I expect a tense and low-scoring encounter. The high stakes are unlikely to allow the opponents to take risks.
Both teams are not known for their flashy and high-scoring play. On the contrary, their matches are usually low-scoring. No more than 2 goals have been scored in 7 of Bulgaria's last 9 Nations League matches and in 10 of Belarus's last 11 matches in this tournament. I am confident this trend will continue in the upcoming match, given the high importance of the result for both teams.
Therefore, my prediction: Total under 2.5 goals