The Round 18 Premier League fixture between Burnley and Everton will take place on December 27 at Turf Moor. Burnley v Everton: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Burnley
Scott Parker's side went into the previous round on the back of a seven-game losing run in the league. They finally halted that slide, but only managed a 1-1 draw away at Bournemouth. Another worrying sequence persists: Burnley have failed to keep a clean sheet in the Premier League for nine consecutive matches. The Clarets sit in the relegation zone, with the gap to 17th place having widened to seven points. They are also conceding an average of two goals per game, the third-highest rate in the division.
- The side conceded at least two goals in 6 of their previous 8 Premier League matches.
- Burnley have lost four successive home league games at Turf Moor.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in 10 of the last 14 home league matches.
Estimated Burnley starting XI (4-4-2)*
Martin Dubravka – Hjalmar Ekdal, Joe Worrell, Josh Loran, Lucas Pires – Leslie Ugochukwu, Jaydon Anthony, Kyle Walker, Josh Kallen – Jacob Bruun Larsen, Zian Flemming.
Injury absentees include forward Zeku Amduni, defenders Maxim Estev and Connor Roberts and midfielder Louis Bayer. Midfielder Annibal Mezghribi is suspended for one match. Forward Lyle Foster and defender Axel Tuanzebe have been called up to their national teams.
Everton
Everton have failed to score in two consecutive Premier League matches. David Moyes' men were beaten 2-0 at Chelsea, then lost 1-0 at home to Arsenal after conceding a decisive penalty. The Toffees currently sit 10th, but the Champions League places are only five points away. Everton's matches are among the lowest-scoring in the division, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
- In their last seven Premier League outings the side registered no draws — four wins and three defeats.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in 9 of Everton's last 13 league matches.
- In 6 of the last 7 Premier League meetings involving the Merseysiders at least one team failed to score.
Estimated Everton starting XI (4-5-1)*
Jordan Pickford – Michael Keane, James Tarkowski, Jake O'Brien, Vitaliy Mykolenko – James Garner, Tim Iroegbunam, Carlos Alcaraz, Jack Grealish, Dwight McNeil – Tierno Barry.
Defenders Jarrod Branthwaite and Seamus Coleman and midfielder Kieran Dowsebery‑Hall are sidelined with injuries. Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye are away on Africa Cup of Nations duty.
Referee
Craig Pawson (England)
Matches – 10 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Average yellow cards per match – 1.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 20%.
Burnley v Everton: Match Prediction
Burnley's home games have generally been low-scoring compared to their entertaining and goal-heavy away fixtures. In eight matches at Turf Moor only once have more than two goals been scored, while Scott Parker's side have failed to score in three of their last four home Premier League games. Everton also tend to keep games tight — they concede few goals and average around one scored per match, making their fixtures among the least prolific in the division.
The Toffees have scored no more than two goals in five of their last six away league matches, and Burnley have not managed two or more goals in six straight league home games. Everton have also conceded more than one goal in just 4 of their last 20 Premier League away matches. Recent head-to-head meetings at Turf Moor have been low on goals as well.
My prediction: Total under 2.5
* For each team the starting XI shown is from their previous match in this competition.
