Premier League
8th tour
Burnley
18 October
10:00
(EDT)
Leeds United

Burnley vs Leeds United: prediction & betting odds October 18, 2025

The Matchday 8 Premier League clash between Burnley and Leeds will take place on October 18 at Turf Moor. Burnley vs. Leeds: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Burnley

After returning to the Premier League, the team has managed only one victory, against Sunderland (2-0). In the other six matches, the club suffered five defeats and drew with Nottingham Forest (1-1). As a result, Burnley is in the relegation zone, but just one point away from the safe 17th place. In the last two rounds, the club played away, losing to Manchester City (1-5) and Aston Villa (1-2).

  • The club has not won in 10 of their last 11 Premier League matches – 2 draws and 8 losses.
  • Both teams scored in 10 of Burnley's last 13 league games.
  • The team has not scored more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 home Premier League matches.

Predicted lineup for Burnley (5-4-1)

Martin Dubravka – Axel Tuanzebe, Kyle Walker, Quilindsi Hartman, Maxime Esteve, Joshua Laurent – Lume Chauna, Josh Cullen, Florentino, Jadon Anthony – Lyle Foster.

Leeds

The team played their last two league matches at home but only managed to earn one point. They first drew with Bournemouth (2-2) and then lost to Tottenham (1-2). Notably, in their last six Premier League matches, Leeds has only managed to beat Wolverhampton (3-1), with two draws and three losses. The club is in 15th place but has a four-point lead over Burnley, who are in 18th.

  • In their last 16 Premier League games, the team has won only 2 matches (4 draws and 10 losses).
  • Both teams scored in 16 of Leeds' last 20 league matches.
  • The team has suffered 7 defeats in their last 8 away Premier League matches (1 win).

Predicted lineup for Leeds (4-3-3)

Karl Darlow – Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Ethan Ampadu, Sean Longstaff, Anton Stach – Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.

Due to injuries, first-choice goalkeeper Lucas Perry and midfielder Daniel James are out.

Referee

Tim Robinson (England)

Matches – 15 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 20%.

Burnley vs. Leeds: Match Prediction

This is a crucial match for both clubs. Matches against direct competitors in the lower part of the table are particularly intense, as it's important to perform well in the battle for Premier League survival. Therefore, I expect an entertaining and high-scoring match, with both teams eager to showcase their attacking prowess.

There's a high probability of both teams scoring in this encounter. Both teams have scored in 6 of Burnley's last 8 home Premier League games and in 7 of Leeds' last 9 away league matches. Additionally, both teams are averaging one goal per game this season, while conceding at least 1.5 goals on average.

My prediction: Both teams to score – yes

* Each team's lineup reflects their starting eleven from their previous match in this tournament.

Burnley vs Leeds United Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
Bookie1X2

Current season

Logo Burnley Logo Leeds United
1 Wins 2
4 Lost 2
1 Draws 2
1 GF per game 1
2.14 GA per game 1.57
3 Corners per game 4
1.57 Yellow cards per game 1.43

Premier League: previous matches of the tournament

Burnley
10/05/25
Aston Villa
Burnley
L
09/27/25
Manchester City
Burnley
L
09/20/25
Burnley
Nottingham Forest
T
09/14/25
Burnley
Liverpool
L
08/30/25
Manchester United
Burnley
L
08/23/25
Burnley
Sunderland
W
08/16/25
Tottenham Hotspur
Burnley
L
More games
Leeds United
10/04/25
Leeds United
Tottenham Hotspur
L
09/27/25
Leeds United
Bournemouth
T
09/20/25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United
W
09/13/25
Fulham
Leeds United
L
08/30/25
Leeds United
Newcastle United
T
08/23/25
Arsenal
Leeds United
L
08/18/25
Leeds United
Everton
W
More games

Head-to-Head: Burnley — Leeds United

Premier League 2021-2022
01/02/22
Leeds United
Burnley
08/29/21
Burnley
Leeds United
Premier League 2020-2021
05/15/21
Burnley
Leeds United
12/27/20
Leeds United
Burnley

Standings

Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
6 5 0 1 12:7 15
2
Arsenal
6 4 1 1 12:3 13
3
Crystal Palace
6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4
Tottenham Hotspur
6 3 2 1 11:4 11
5
Sunderland
6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6
Bournemouth
6 3 2 1 8:7 11
7
Manchester City
6 3 1 2 14:6 10
8
Chelsea
6 2 2 2 11:8 8
9
Everton
6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10
Brighton and Hove Albion
6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11
Fulham
6 2 2 2 7:8 8
12
Leeds United
6 2 2 2 6:9 8
13
Brentford
6 2 1 3 9:11 7
14
Manchester United
6 2 1 3 7:11 7
15
Newcastle United
6 1 3 2 4:5 6
16
Aston Villa
6 1 3 2 4:6 6
17
Nottingham Forest
6 1 2 3 5:10 5
18
Burnley
6 1 1 4 6:13 4
19
West Ham United
6 1 1 4 6:14 4
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2
Arsenal
3 2 1 0 9:1 7
3
Sunderland
3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4
Bournemouth
3 2 1 0 3:1 7
5
Fulham
3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6
Brentford
3 2 1 0 6:3 7
7
Manchester City
3 2 0 1 8:3 6
8
Manchester United
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
9
Crystal Palace
3 1 2 0 3:2 5
10
Everton
3 1 2 0 3:1 5
11
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 2 0 5:4 5
12
Leeds United
3 1 2 0 3:2 5
13
Tottenham Hotspur
3 1 1 1 4:2 4
14
Chelsea
3 1 1 1 3:3 4
15
Aston Villa
3 1 1 1 3:4 4
16
Burnley
3 1 1 1 3:2 4
17
Newcastle United
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
18
Nottingham Forest
3 1 0 2 3:5 3
19
West Ham United
3 0 0 3 2:10 0
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Team Games W T L Goals Points Form
1
Crystal Palace
3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2
Tottenham Hotspur
3 2 1 0 7:2 7
3
Liverpool
3 2 0 1 5:4 6
4
Arsenal
3 2 0 1 3:2 6
5
Sunderland
3 1 1 1 1:2 4
6
Bournemouth
3 1 1 1 5:6 4
7
Manchester City
3 1 1 1 6:3 4
8
Chelsea
3 1 1 1 8:5 4
9
West Ham United
3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10
Everton
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
11
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 1 0 2 4:5 3
12
Leeds United
3 1 0 2 3:7 3
13
Newcastle United
3 0 3 0 0:0 3
14
Aston Villa
3 0 2 1 1:2 2
15
Nottingham Forest
3 0 2 1 2:5 2
16
Fulham
3 0 1 2 2:6 1
17
Manchester United
3 0 1 2 2:7 1
18
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 0 1 2 1:3 1
19
Brentford
3 0 0 3 3:8 0
20
Burnley
3 0 0 3 3:11 0

Team Rosters

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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