The Matchday 8 Premier League clash between Burnley and Leeds will take place on October 18 at Turf Moor. Burnley vs. Leeds: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Burnley
After returning to the Premier League, the team has managed only one victory, against Sunderland (2-0). In the other six matches, the club suffered five defeats and drew with Nottingham Forest (1-1). As a result, Burnley is in the relegation zone, but just one point away from the safe 17th place. In the last two rounds, the club played away, losing to Manchester City (1-5) and Aston Villa (1-2).
- The club has not won in 10 of their last 11 Premier League matches – 2 draws and 8 losses.
- Both teams scored in 10 of Burnley's last 13 league games.
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 home Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Burnley (5-4-1)
Martin Dubravka – Axel Tuanzebe, Kyle Walker, Quilindsi Hartman, Maxime Esteve, Joshua Laurent – Lume Chauna, Josh Cullen, Florentino, Jadon Anthony – Lyle Foster.
Leeds
The team played their last two league matches at home but only managed to earn one point. They first drew with Bournemouth (2-2) and then lost to Tottenham (1-2). Notably, in their last six Premier League matches, Leeds has only managed to beat Wolverhampton (3-1), with two draws and three losses. The club is in 15th place but has a four-point lead over Burnley, who are in 18th.
- In their last 16 Premier League games, the team has won only 2 matches (4 draws and 10 losses).
- Both teams scored in 16 of Leeds' last 20 league matches.
- The team has suffered 7 defeats in their last 8 away Premier League matches (1 win).
Predicted lineup for Leeds (4-3-3)
Karl Darlow – Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Gabriel Gudmundsson – Ethan Ampadu, Sean Longstaff, Anton Stach – Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.
Due to injuries, first-choice goalkeeper Lucas Perry and midfielder Daniel James are out.
Referee
Tim Robinson (England)
Matches – 15 (Premier League, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Burnley vs. Leeds: Match Prediction
This is a crucial match for both clubs. Matches against direct competitors in the lower part of the table are particularly intense, as it's important to perform well in the battle for Premier League survival. Therefore, I expect an entertaining and high-scoring match, with both teams eager to showcase their attacking prowess.
There's a high probability of both teams scoring in this encounter. Both teams have scored in 6 of Burnley's last 8 home Premier League games and in 7 of Leeds' last 9 away league matches. Additionally, both teams are averaging one goal per game this season, while conceding at least 1.5 goals on average.
My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
* Each team's lineup reflects their starting eleven from their previous match in this tournament.