The Matchday 6 encounter in the 2024/25 Conference League group stage between Chelsea (England) and Shamrock Rovers (Ireland) will be held on December 19 at Stamford Bridge in London. Chelsea vs. Shamrock Rovers: prediction and statistics.
Referee: Willy Delajod (France)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 37;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 44%.
Predicted lineups for Chelsea vs. Shamrock Rovers
Chelsea (4-3-3): Filip Jorgensen – Axel Disasi, Joshua Achimpong, Tosin Adarabioyo, Renato Veiga – Samuel Rak-Sakyi, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Carney Chukwuemeka – Mark Guiu, Tyrique George, Pedro Neto.
Shamrock Rovers (4-5-1): Leon Pohls – Joshua Honohan, Daniel Cleary, Lee Grace, Roberto Lopes – Dylan Watts, Markus Poom, Gary O'Neill, Neil Farrugia, Darragh Burns – Johnny Kenny.
Each team's lineup is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Chelsea
The Londoners have secured a spot in the Conference League playoffs, advancing directly to the Round of 16. The English club has convincingly defeated all their opponents by a margin of two goals or more. In the previous round, the team, fielding a secondary lineup, defeated Astana 3-1 away, scoring all three goals before halftime. Notably, Enzo Maresca's side has scored the most goals in the Conference League group stage with 21 goals.
- In 4 of their last 5 games in this tournament, Chelsea has scored at least three goals.
- Three or more goals have been scored in 5 of Chelsea's last 6 Conference League matches.
- In their last 8 home European matches, the English side conceded only one goal in the first half.
Shamrock Rovers
In the previous round, the Irish team thrashed Borac 3-0 at home. This was their third victory in the group stage. Additionally, Stephen Bradley's side has drawn twice. As a result, the club sits in a high 6th place with 11 points and has secured a spot in the tournament playoffs at the Round of 32. The team will advance to the Round of 16 if they win in London.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 12 of Shamrock Rovers' last 14 Conference League matches.
- The club has won only 3 of their last 15 matches in this tournament (4 draws and 8 losses).
- The Irish side has lost 5 of their last 7 away Conference League matches (1 win and 1 draw).
Chelsea vs. Shamrock Rovers: Match Prediction
The Londoners can afford to lose the final group stage match, as they will not drop out of the top eight. Nevertheless, Enzo Maresca has such a wide selection of players that he can easily field a secondary lineup or even youth players, who can handle the Irish side. This is precisely what the English manager did in Kazakhstan in the previous round – his team secured a confident victory in the first half.
Chelsea has defeated all their opponents in this tournament by at least two goals. They managed to overcome solid mid-table teams like Gent (4-2), Panathinaikos (4-1), and Bundesliga representatives Heidenheim (2-0). In contrast, Shamrock Rovers had a relatively easy schedule, with their toughest opponent being Rapid (1-1). I am confident that the Irish side will suffer a heavy defeat in England, as they lack experience against such high-level opponents and are inferior to the Londoners in terms of player quality.
My prediction: Chelsea with a handicap (-2.5)