The first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final between Como 1907 and Inter will take place on 3 March at the Giuseppe Sinigaglia Stadium. Como 1907 vs Inter: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Como 1907
Cesc Fabregas' side were stronger than Napoli in the previous round (1:1, won 7:6 on penalties). As a result, the team have avoided defeat in 90 minutes in five Coppa Italia matches (three wins, two draws). However, across that run, the club have kept just one clean sheet. What is more, Como 1907 have conceded in nine of their last 10 matches in this competition. By reaching the semi-finals, the team have equalled their best-ever achievement in the tournament, dating back to the 1985/86 season.
- Both teams scored in six of the club's last eight matches in the national cup.
- On home soil in this competition, Como 1907 have avoided defeat after 90 minutes in five consecutive matches (four wins, one draw).
- In their previous five home games in the Coppa Italia, the team scored at least twice.
Potential Como 1907 Lineup (4-5-1)*
Jean Butez – Ivan Smolcic, Jacobo Ramon, Alex Valle, Diego Carlos – Maxence Caqueret, Nico Paz, Martin Baturina, Sergi Roberto, Maximo Perrone – Jayden Addai.
Inter
Inter played the previous-round match at home and, not without difficulty, beat Torino (2:1). That win was the team's fourth in 90 minutes across their last six Coppa Italia games (one draw, one defeat). At the same time, their run of matches conceding goals has reached four in a row. Inter have made it to the semi-finals for the sixth time in the previous seven seasons. Twice in that period the club lifted the trophy, but last year they failed to get past this stage.
- A draw after 90 minutes occurred in the club's last seven away matches in the Coppa Italia.
- Inter have not conceded more than one goal in 12 of their previous 13 matches in the national cup.
- The club scored within 90 minutes in five of their last seven away matches in this competition.
Potential Inter Lineup (4-4-2)*
Josep Martinez – Stefan de Vrij, Matteo Cocchi, Carlos Augusto, Francesco Acerbi – Issiaka Kamate, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Davide Frattesi, Andy Diouf – Ange-Yoan Bonny, Marcus Thuram.
Forward Lautaro Martinez is injured.
Referee
Marco Di Bello (Italy)
Matches – 7 (Coppa Italia, 2014/15 - 2023/24);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 14%.
Como 1907 vs Inter: Match Prediction
Cesc Fabregas' side have produced an excellent defensive performance this season and hardly ever suffer lapses in their own third. However, the most recent meeting with Inter was an exception. Como 1907 lost 0:4, but we are confident the team learnt their lessons and will not allow another rout. In the national cup, the club have not conceded more than one goal for six matches in a row, while in the current Serie A campaign they rank second for the number of clean sheets (13).
Top spot for clean sheets belongs to Inter. Cristian Chivu's side have prevented the opposition from scoring in 15 matches. In addition, away from home in the national cup, the Milan club have not conceded more than one goal in seven of their last eight games, while Como 1907 were shut out in all three of the most recent head-to-head meetings in the league. Inter will also have the second leg and the upcoming derby against Milan in mind. We think the team will not force the pace, and their main task will be not to concede. In any case, it is not easy to score against Como 1907.
Prediction: Under 3 goals
* For each team, the starting line-up from their last match in this competition is listed.
